Saudi Arabia Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 8

Al-Fayha vs Al Riyadh

1 – 1 Full time

16′Lázaro Vinicius Marques
32′Bernard Mensah
45′Sulaiman HazaziHussain Qasim
45′Essam Hassan Abdullah BahriMahmoud Trezeguet
46′Ali Al-Hussain
60′Hussam MajrashiFahad Mohammed Al-Jayzani
69′Lázaro Vinicius MarquesYago Souza
70′Alfa SemedoNawaf Al-Harthi
76′Hassan Hashim Al-AliHussain Al-Raqwani
77′Kader Keita
80′Sultan Al-EssaHussain Al Shurafa
81′Hussain Al Shurafa
88′Ali Al-HussainRayan Enad
88′Jason RemeseiroMalek Al-Abdulmonam
90′Mahmoud Trezeguet
90′Fashion Sakala

Al Majma’a Sport City, MadimaaReferee: Abdullah Yahya Zarban

Al-Fayha 43%
Draw 28%
Al Riyadh 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 2
40 Possession % 60
5 Corners 9
5 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 5
1 Saves 3
287 Accurate passes 431

Al-Fayha vs Al Riyadh overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Fayha vs Al Riyadh

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAl-FayhaDrawAl Riyadh
Model39.0%29.0%32.0%
Market44.0%27.9%28.1%
Final42.7%28.2%29.1%
Edge-1.3%+0.3%+1.0%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Al-Fayha ↓ / Al Riyadh → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 8% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 47%
No goals 9%

Al-Fayha and Al Riyadh expected goals

Al-Fayha 1.36
Al Riyadh 1.21

Total expected goals: 2.57

Al-Fayha and Al Riyadh attack and defence ratings

Al-Fayha

Attack 0.73 -27%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Al Riyadh

Attack 0.82 -18%
Defence 1.19 +19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Al-Fayha vs Al Riyadh: result vs prediction

Al-Fayha 1 – 1 Al Riyadh

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Saudi Arabia Pro League

Before and after this match

Al-Fayha vs Al Riyadh markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Al-Fayha 42.7% 2.34 -1.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.7% 1.90 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.4% 1.87 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.8% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.0% 1.64 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Al-Fayha42.7%
Draw28.2%
Al Riyadh29.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.3%
Under 2.552.7%
Both teams to scoreYes53.4%
No46.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.9%
12 (either side)71.8%
X2 (draw or away)57.3%
Handicap -1Al-Fayha win18.6%
Push (exactly one goal)20.4%
Loss61.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.9%
1-09.2%
0-08.9%

Al-Fayha vs Al Riyadh stats

Al-Fayha and Al Riyadh recent form

newest first
Al-Fayha DLDWDL
Al Riyadh WDLWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Al-Fayha and Al Riyadh going into this match

league record before kick-off

Al-Fayha record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

Al Riyadh record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

Al-Fayha vs Al Riyadh head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

4Al-Fayha wins 3Draws 0Al Riyadh wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-04Al-FayhaAl RiyadhSaudi Arabia Pro League4-2
2026-01-10Al RiyadhAl-FayhaSaudi Arabia Pro League1-1
2025-02-26Al RiyadhAl-FayhaPro League0-0
2024-09-29Al-FayhaAl RiyadhPro League2-0
2024-03-15Al-FayhaAl RiyadhPro League1-1
2023-09-26Al RiyadhAl-FayhaKing's Cup1-2
2023-09-22Al RiyadhAl-FayhaPro League1-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Al-Fayha vs Al Riyadh odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.0%, draw 27.9%, away 28.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.12 3.34 3.34
Bet365 2.05 3.25 3.00
BetVictor 2.10 3.25 3.20
Betano 2.20 3.40 3.30
Betfair 2.05 3.40 3.30
Dafabet 2.18 3.40 3.35
Marathonbet 2.03 3.20 3.20
Pinnacle 2.16 3.31 3.50
SBO 2.06 3.05 2.97
William Hill 2.05 3.10 3.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.08 ▼ -0.04
X 3.28 ▲ +0.04
2 3.25 ▼ -0.04

13 snapshots recorded, from .