Al-Fayha
vs
Al Riyadh
Garuda Lions Prediction: Al-Fayha
1 – 0 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Al-Fayha vs Al Riyadh overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Fayha vs Al Riyadh
| Probability | Al-Fayha | Draw | Al Riyadh |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.0% | 29.0% | 32.0% |
| Market | 43.8% | 28.3% | 27.9% |
| Final | 42.6% | 28.5% | 28.9% |
| Edge | -4.8% | +0.7% | +4.1% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.20, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Al-Fayha vs Al Riyadh match preview
Al-Fayha faces Al Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Pro League, with model probabilities indicating a 39% chance of a win for Al-Fayha, a 29% likelihood of a draw, and a 32% chance for Al Riyadh. The most likely scoreline suggested is 1-0 in favor of Al-Fayha, occurring at a rate of 9%. The expected goals for Al-Fayha are 1.37, while Al Riyadh is projected at 1.20.
In terms of recent form, Al-Fayha has recorded a sequence of D-L-D-W-D-L, whereas Al Riyadh's recent matches show W-D-L-W-D-L. In their last two encounters, Al-Fayha has secured 1 win and 1 draw against Al Riyadh, who has yet to win in this matchup. The probability of over 2.5 goals stands at 47%, with both teams expected to score at a rate of 53%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al-Fayha and Al Riyadh expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.57
Al-Fayha and Al Riyadh attack and defence ratings
Al-Fayha
Al Riyadh
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Al Kholood vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
- Al-Fateh v Al-Ahli Jeddah — match page
- Al-Nassr v Al Diriyah — match page
- Al-Hazm v NEOM — match page
- Al-Ettifaq vs Al Khaleej Saihat
- Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC — team news & stats
- Abha vs Al-Faisaly FC — team news & stats
- Al Shabab vs Al Taawon — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Al-Fayha vs Al Riyadh markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Fayha | 42.6% | 2.35 | -4.8% | 2.20 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Fayha | 42.6% |
| Draw | 28.5% | |
| Al Riyadh | 28.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.4% |
| No | 46.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Fayha win | 18.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.4% | |
| Loss | 61.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.9% |
| 1-0 | 9.2% | |
| 0-0 | 8.9% |
Al-Fayha vs Al Riyadh stats
Al-Fayha and Al Riyadh recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al-Fayha and Al Riyadh season so far
Al-Fayha record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
Al Riyadh record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Al-Fayha vs Al Riyadh head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-04 | Al-Fayha | Al Riyadh | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 4-2 |
| 2026-01-10 | Al Riyadh | Al-Fayha | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Al-Fayha vs Al Riyadh odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.8%, draw 28.3%, away 27.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.12 | 3.34 | 3.34 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.18 | 3.40 | 3.35 |
| Marathonbet | 2.03 | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.13 | 3.25 | 3.46 |
| SBO | 2.01 | 3.01 | 2.94 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.10 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .