Saudi Arabia Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 8

Al Kholood vs Al-Qadisiyah FC

0 – 5 Full time

4′Tijjani Reijnders
13′Christopher Bonsu Baah
40′Musab Al-Juwayr
56′Julien DominguesGustavo Gouveia Rodrigues Cruz
57′Odai Hussein AbdulghaniYaseen Al-Zubaidi
67′Mateo Retegui
68′Abdulrahman Obaid Al-ObaidAbdulrahman Al-Dosari
68′Sultan Al ShehriMohammed Al Rashidi
69′Mohammed Abu Al-ShamatTurki Al-Ammar
69′Nacho FernándezYasir Al-Shahrani
69′Mateo ReteguiHaitham Asiri
76′Jehad ThakriAhmed Al-Siyahi
80′Tijjani ReijndersMohammed Hamad Al-Qahtani
83′Iker Kortajarena CanelladaAntoine Loic Essomba Bikoula
84′Coba Gomes da Costa
86′Julián Quiñones

Al Hazm Club Stadium, Ar RassReferee: Abdullah Al-Shehri

Al Kholood 18%
Draw 21%
Al-Qadisiyah FC 61%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 20
4 Shots on target 9
39 Possession % 61
10 Corners 6
9 Fouls 9
0 Offsides 2
4 Saves 4
271 Accurate passes 464

Al Kholood vs Al-Qadisiyah FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Al Kholood vs Al-Qadisiyah FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAl KholoodDrawAl-Qadisiyah FC
Model19.3%22.4%58.3%
Market17.6%20.9%61.5%
Final18.1%21.3%60.7%
Edge+1.6%+1.6%-3.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Al-Qadisiyah FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.11 vs 1.16.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Al Kholood ↓ / Al-Qadisiyah F → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 8% 6% 5% 1 10% 10% 7% 6% 2 5% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 63%
No goals 5%

Al Kholood and Al-Qadisiyah FC expected goals

Al Kholood 1.16
Al-Qadisiyah FC 2.11

Total expected goals: 3.27

Al Kholood and Al-Qadisiyah FC attack and defence ratings

Al Kholood

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Al-Qadisiyah FC

Attack 1.52 +52%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Al Kholood vs Al-Qadisiyah FC: result vs prediction

Al Kholood 0 – 5 Al-Qadisiyah FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Saudi Arabia Pro League

Before and after this match

Al Kholood vs Al-Qadisiyah FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Al-Qadisiyah FC 60.7% 1.65 -3.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 63.5% 1.58 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.2% 1.63 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 81.9% 1.22 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 41.7% 2.40 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Al Kholood18.1%
Draw21.3%
Al-Qadisiyah FC60.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.563.5%
Under 2.536.5%
Both teams to scoreYes61.2%
No38.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)39.3%
12 (either side)78.7%
X2 (draw or away)81.9%
Handicap -1Al-Qadisiyah FC win36.4%
Push (exactly one goal)21.8%
Loss41.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.2%
1-29.8%
0-28.5%

Al Kholood vs Al-Qadisiyah FC stats

Al Kholood and Al-Qadisiyah FC recent form

newest first
Al Kholood LWDWDW
Al-Qadisiyah FC DWWWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Al Kholood and Al-Qadisiyah FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Al Kholood record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • 56% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Al-Qadisiyah FC record

  • They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Al Kholood vs Al-Qadisiyah FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Al Kholood wins 1Draws 8Al-Qadisiyah FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-07Al KholoodAl-Qadisiyah FCSaudi Arabia Pro League1-4
2025-11-06Al-Qadisiyah FCAl KholoodSaudi Arabia Pro League4-0
2025-05-02Al-Qadisiyah FCAl KholoodPro League4-1
2024-12-06Al KholoodAl-Qadisiyah FCPro League0-3
2024-03-09Al-Qadisiyah FCAl KholoodDivision 12-0
2023-10-25Al KholoodAl-Qadisiyah FCDivision 10-2
2023-05-02Al-Qadisiyah FCAl KholoodDivision 11-0
2022-12-20Al KholoodAl-Qadisiyah FCDivision 12-0
2022-02-23Al-Qadisiyah FCAl KholoodDivision 11-0
2021-10-12Al KholoodAl-Qadisiyah FCDivision 11-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Al Kholood vs Al-Qadisiyah FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 17.6%, draw 20.9%, away 61.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 5.43 4.53 1.50
Bet365 5.00 3.90 1.53
BetVictor 5.25 4.20 1.50
Betano 5.40 4.50 1.55
Betfair 5.50 4.50 1.47
Dafabet 5.40 4.50 1.55
Marathonbet 5.20 4.33 1.44
Pinnacle 5.08 4.65 1.55
SBO 4.53 3.78 1.47
William Hill 4.80 4.00 1.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 5.22 ▼ -0.38
X 4.42 ▼ -0.36
2 1.50 ▲ +0.08

13 snapshots recorded, from .