Abha
vs
Al-Faisaly FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Abha
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Abha vs Al-Faisaly FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Abha vs Al-Faisaly FC
| Probability | Abha | Draw | Al-Faisaly FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.4% | 31.6% | 31.0% |
| Market | 45.0% | 27.1% | 27.9% |
| Final | 43.1% | 28.2% | 28.7% |
| Edge | -7.5% | +4.5% | +3.0% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.11, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Abha vs Al-Faisaly FC match preview
Abha faces Al-Faisaly FC in the Saudi Arabia Pro League with both teams struggling for form. Abha's recent results show a sequence of draws and losses, with their last six matches yielding just two draws. In contrast, Al-Faisaly FC has also been unable to secure a win, recording four draws and two losses in their last six games.
The match is expected to be closely contested, with model probabilities indicating a 38% chance for an Abha victory, a 32% chance for a draw, and a 31% chance for Al-Faisaly FC to win. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Abha, with expected goals of 1.18 for Abha and 1.04 for Al-Faisaly FC. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 38%, while both teams scoring has a probability of 46%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Abha and Al-Faisaly FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.21
Abha and Al-Faisaly FC attack and defence ratings
Abha
Al-Faisaly FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Abha vs Al-Faisaly FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Abha | 43.1% | 2.32 | -7.5% | 2.11 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Abha | 43.1% |
| Draw | 28.2% | |
| Al-Faisaly FC | 28.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.0% |
| No | 54.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Abha win | 16.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 62.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | 12.3% | |
| 1-0 | 11.5% |
Abha vs Al-Faisaly FC stats
Abha and Al-Faisaly FC recent form
| Abha |
DLLLDL |
| Al-Faisaly FC |
LDDLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Abha and Al-Faisaly FC season so far
Abha record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Al-Faisaly FC record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Abha vs Al-Faisaly FC head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Abha vs Al-Faisaly FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.0%, draw 27.1%, away 27.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.08 | 3.42 | 3.36 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.10 | 3.55 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.11 | 3.60 | 3.35 |
| Marathonbet | 1.99 | 3.28 | 3.22 |
| Pinnacle | 2.06 | 3.49 | 3.38 |
| SBO | 1.95 | 3.02 | 3.06 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.10 | 3.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .