Saudi Arabia Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 8

Abha vs Al-Faisaly FC

0 – 1 Full time

10′Khaled Al ShamraniMohammed Bandar Abdullah Al Zaid
41′Flávio
55′Jurien Gaari
70′Flávio
76′Abdulkarim DarisiLoreintz Rosier
76′Firas Al-GhamdiKheshim Al Qahtani
76′Abdulaziz Al-BishiAndré-Jordy Ella
76′Theo BongondaJaime Seoane
86′Mohammed Ali Al ShanqitiEid Al-Muwallad
90′Nabil FekirKamil Boumedmed
90′Georges-Kévin N'KoudouSafwan Al Johani
90′Abdullah Al-MogrenAbdulrahman Al Safari

Prince Sultan bin Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium, Khamis MushaitReferee: Abdulsamad Bakri

Abha 31%
Draw 29%
Al-Faisaly FC 40%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Match stats

15 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 3
58 Possession % 42
11 Corners 4
14 Fouls 16
2 Offsides 2
2 Saves 3
340 Accurate passes 219

Abha vs Al-Faisaly FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Abha vs Al-Faisaly FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAbhaDrawAl-Faisaly FC
Model30.8%28.8%40.4%
Market———
Final30.8%28.8%40.4%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Al-Faisaly FC

  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Abha ↓ / Al-Faisaly FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 9% 7% 1 8% 14% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 9%

Abha and Al-Faisaly FC expected goals

Abha 1.19
Al-Faisaly FC 1.40

Total expected goals: 2.59

Abha and Al-Faisaly FC attack and defence ratings

Abha

Attack 0.62 -38%
Defence 1.13 +13%

Al-Faisaly FC

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Abha vs Al-Faisaly FC: result vs prediction

Abha 0 – 1 Al-Faisaly FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Saudi Arabia Pro League

Before and after this match

Abha vs Al-Faisaly FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Al-Faisaly FC 40.4% 2.47 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.1% 1.92 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.6% 1.86 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.2% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.6% 1.68 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Abha30.8%
Draw28.8%
Al-Faisaly FC40.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.9%
Under 2.552.1%
Both teams to scoreYes53.6%
No46.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)59.6%
12 (either side)71.2%
X2 (draw or away)69.2%
Handicap -1Al-Faisaly FC win19.6%
Push (exactly one goal)20.8%
Loss59.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.8%
0-19.2%
0-08.8%

Abha vs Al-Faisaly FC stats

Abha and Al-Faisaly FC recent form

newest first
Abha LLDLLL
Al-Faisaly FC LDWLDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Abha and Al-Faisaly FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Abha record

  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Al-Faisaly FC record

  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

Abha vs Al-Faisaly FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Abha wins 3Draws 4Al-Faisaly FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-21Al-Faisaly FCAbhaDivision 10-2
2025-09-11AbhaAl-Faisaly FCDivision 12-2
2025-02-18Al-Faisaly FCAbhaDivision 12-2
2024-10-01AbhaAl-Faisaly FCDivision 13-1
2022-05-06AbhaAl-Faisaly FCPro League0-0
2021-11-04Al-Faisaly FCAbhaPro League1-0
2021-05-14Al-Faisaly FCAbhaPro League2-1
2021-01-07AbhaAl-Faisaly FCPro League1-0
2020-09-09Al-Faisaly FCAbhaPro League2-1
2020-01-25AbhaAl-Faisaly FCPro League0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Abha vs Al-Faisaly FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.0%, draw 27.1%, away 27.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.08 3.42 3.36
Bet365 2.00 3.40 3.10
Betano 2.10 3.55 3.40
Betfair 2.05 3.40 3.30
Dafabet 2.11 3.60 3.35
Marathonbet 1.99 3.28 3.22
Pinnacle 2.06 3.49 3.38
SBO 1.95 3.02 3.06
William Hill 2.00 3.10 3.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.05 —
X 3.40 ▼ -0.01
2 3.30 ▼ -0.03

13 snapshots recorded, from .