NEOM
vs
Abha
Garuda Lions Prediction: NEOM
2 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
NEOM vs Abha overview
Garuda Lions analysis: NEOM vs Abha
| Probability | NEOM | Draw | Abha |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63.3% | 23.2% | 13.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 63.3% | 23.2% | 13.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why NEOM
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 0.79.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
NEOM vs Abha match preview
In the upcoming Saudi Arabia Pro League match, NEOM faces Abha with a kickoff scheduled for October 24, 2026. According to our model, NEOM holds a strong probability of winning at 63%, while a draw stands at 23% and Abha at 14%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-0 in favor of NEOM, with an expected goals tally of 1.93 for NEOM and 0.79 for Abha.
Recent form indicates NEOM has had a mixed performance with a record of D-W-W-W-L-L, while Abha has struggled, recording L-D-L-L-L-D in their last matches. The model suggests a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance for both teams to score, reflecting NEOM's offensive potential against Abha's defensive challenges.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
NEOM and Abha expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.72
NEOM and Abha attack and defence ratings
NEOM
Abha
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
NEOM vs Abha markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | NEOM | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.4% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | NEOM win | 39.0% | 2.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | NEOM | 63.3% |
| Draw | 23.2% | |
| Abha | 13.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.6% |
| No | 52.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 36.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | NEOM win | 39.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.2% | |
| Loss | 36.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.3% |
| 1-0 | 11.7% | |
| 1-1 | 11.1% |
NEOM vs Abha stats
NEOM and Abha recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
NEOM and Abha season so far
NEOM record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Abha record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.