Al Riyadh
vs
Al Taawon
Garuda Lions Prediction: Al Taawon
0 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Al Taawon is the favourite, not a value bet.
Al Riyadh vs Al Taawon overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al Riyadh vs Al Taawon
| Probability | Al Riyadh | Draw | Al Taawon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.9% | 31.7% | 22.4% |
| Market | 29.9% | 26.9% | 43.2% |
| Final | 33.9% | 28.1% | 38.0% |
| Edge | +4.0% | +1.2% | -5.2% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.22, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -15.7% per unit staked (our 38.0% × 2.22 − 1).
Al Riyadh vs Al Taawon match preview
Al Riyadh faces Al Taawon in the Saudi Arabia Pro League, with a kickoff scheduled for October 24, 2026. According to our model, Al Riyadh has a 33% chance of winning, while Al Taawon stands at 39%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1 in favor of Al Taawon, with an expected goals metric showing Al Riyadh at 1.27 and Al Taawon at 0.80.
In terms of recent form, Al Riyadh's last five matches include two wins, two draws, and one loss, while Al Taawon has struggled with one draw and four losses. The head-to-head record in their last two encounters shows Al Taawon with one win and one draw against Al Riyadh, which has yet to secure a victory. Both teams to score is projected at 41%, while the probability of over 2.5 goals is 34%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al Riyadh and Al Taawon expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.07
Al Riyadh and Al Taawon attack and defence ratings
Al Riyadh
Al Taawon
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al Riyadh vs Al Taawon markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Taawon | 38.0% | 2.63 | -5.2% | 2.22 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Riyadh | 33.9% |
| Draw | 28.1% | |
| Al Taawon | 38.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.1% |
| No | 58.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al Taawon win | 7.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.0% | |
| Loss | 77.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.6% |
| 1-1 | 14.1% | |
| 0-0 | 13.8% |
Al Riyadh vs Al Taawon stats
Al Riyadh and Al Taawon recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al Riyadh and Al Taawon season so far
Al Riyadh record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
Al Taawon record
- They have won 0 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They average 0.8 goals per game on the road against 0.0 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 10 matches.
Al Riyadh vs Al Taawon head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-15 | Al Taawon | Al Riyadh | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 1-1 |
| 2026-01-18 | Al Riyadh | Al Taawon | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 1-3 |
| 2025-05-20 | Al Taawon | Al Riyadh | Pro League | 3-2 |
| 2025-01-21 | Al Riyadh | Al Taawon | Pro League | 1-0 |
| 2024-05-09 | Al Riyadh | Al Taawon | Pro League | 0-0 |
| 2023-11-24 | Al Taawon | Al Riyadh | Pro League | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Al Riyadh vs Al Taawon odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.2%, draw 26.9%, away 42.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.12 | 3.53 | 2.14 |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.20 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.10 |
| Betano | 3.25 | 3.45 | 2.22 |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.15 |
| Dafabet | 3.20 | 3.55 | 2.20 |
| Marathonbet | 2.99 | 3.38 | 2.05 |
| Pinnacle | 3.01 | 3.62 | 2.18 |
| SBO | 2.93 | 3.08 | 1.98 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.25 | 2.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .