Saudi Arabia Pro League · ·Matchday 11

Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC

Garuda Lions Prediction: Al-Hilal Saudi FC

1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability

Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium, Dammam

Al-Qadisiyah FC 34%
Draw 24%
Al-Hilal Saudi FC 42%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Al-Hilal Saudi FC wins
42%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
96%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
68%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
9% of simulated outcomes

Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAl-Qadisiyah FCDrawAl-Hilal Saudi FC
Model33.5%24.4%42.1%
Market———
Final33.5%24.4%42.1%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC match preview

Al-Qadisiyah FC faces Al-Hilal Saudi FC in the Saudi Arabia Pro League, with kickoff scheduled for October 23, 2026. According to our model, Al-Qadisiyah FC has a 34% chance of winning, while Al-Hilal Saudi FC stands at 42%, and a draw is at 24%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, with a probability of 9%. Both teams are expected to contribute to an exciting match, with a 66% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance that both teams will score.

In terms of recent form, Al-Qadisiyah FC has recorded five consecutive wins followed by a draw, while Al-Hilal Saudi FC has won five of their last six matches, with one loss. The expected goals for Al-Qadisiyah FC is 1.60, and for Al-Hilal Saudi FC, it is 1.80. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Al-Qadisiyah F ↓ / Al-Hilal Saudi → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 1 11% 9% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 66%
No goals 4%

Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Hilal Saudi FC expected goals

Al-Qadisiyah FC 1.60
Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1.80

Total expected goals: 3.40

Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Hilal Saudi FC attack and defence ratings

Al-Qadisiyah FC

Attack 1.65 +65%
Defence 0.75 -25%

Al-Hilal Saudi FC

Attack 1.70 +70%
Defence 0.62 -38%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Saudi Arabia Pro League

Before and after this match

Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC 42.1% 2.38 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 66.1% 1.51 — —
Both teams to score Yes 67.6% 1.48 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.6% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.9% 1.73 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Al-Qadisiyah FC33.5%
Draw24.4%
Al-Hilal Saudi FC42.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.566.1%
Under 2.533.9%
Both teams to scoreYes67.6%
No32.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)57.9%
12 (either side)75.6%
X2 (draw or away)66.5%
Handicap -1Al-Hilal Saudi FC win23.0%
Push (exactly one goal)19.0%
Loss57.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.6%
1-28.7%
2-17.7%

Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC stats

Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Hilal Saudi FC recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Hilal Saudi FC season so far

league record

Al-Qadisiyah FC record

  • They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game on the road against 2.2 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

Al-Hilal Saudi FC record

  • They have won 7 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 3.2 goals per match.
  • They average 4.0 goals per game on the road against 2.5 at home.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).

Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Al-Qadisiyah FC wins 2Draws 0Al-Hilal Saudi FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-29Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Hilal Saudi FCSaudi Arabia Pro League2-2
2025-09-13Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Qadisiyah FCSaudi Arabia Pro League2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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