Al-Hilal Saudi FC
vs
Al-Hazm
Garuda Lions Prediction: Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Hazm overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Hazm
| Probability | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Draw | Al-Hazm |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 78.3% | 14.8% | 6.9% |
| Market | 88.4% | 7.1% | 4.4% |
| Final | 85.9% | 9.1% | 5.0% |
| Edge | -10.1% | +7.6% | +2.5% |
Why Al-Hilal Saudi FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.70 vs 0.73.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.10, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Hazm match preview
Al-Hilal Saudi FC enters the match against Al-Hazm with a strong probability of winning at 74%. Their recent form shows a series of victories, with the last six matches yielding five wins and one loss. The expected goals for Al-Hilal is 2.36, indicating a solid offensive performance, while Al-Hazm is expected to score only 0.68 goals.
In their previous encounters, Al-Hilal has dominated with two wins and no draws against Al-Hazm. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0, occurring at a rate of 13%. Additionally, there is a 59% chance of more than 2.5 goals being scored in the match, while both teams scoring is estimated at 46%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC and Al-Hazm expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.43
Al-Hilal Saudi FC and Al-Hazm attack and defence ratings
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Hazm
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Hazm markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 85.9% | 1.16 | -10.1% | 1.10 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 95.0% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC win | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 85.9% |
| Draw | 9.1% | |
| Al-Hazm | 5.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.7% |
| No | 51.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 95.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 90.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 14.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC win | 58.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 21.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.9% |
| 3-0 | 10.7% | |
| 2-1 | 8.6% |
Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Hazm stats
Al-Hilal Saudi FC and Al-Hazm recent form
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC |
WWLWWW |
| Al-Hazm |
LDLWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC and Al-Hazm season so far
Al-Hilal Saudi FC record
- They have won 7 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 3.2 goals per match.
- They average 4.0 goals per game on the road against 2.5 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Al-Hazm record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Hazm head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Al-Hazm | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 0-3 |
| 2026-01-08 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Al-Hazm | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Hazm odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 89.1%, draw 7.2%, away 3.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.04 | 13.70 | 27.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.08 | 10.00 | 21.00 |
| Betano | 1.10 | 9.75 | 25.00 |
| Betfair | 1.05 | 14.00 | 26.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.04 | 9.70 | 19.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.05 | 15.54 | 18.88 |
| William Hill | 1.05 | 13.00 | 26.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .