Al-Ettifaq
vs
Al-Ittihad FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Al-Ittihad FC
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Ittihad FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Ittihad FC
| Probability | Al-Ettifaq | Draw | Al-Ittihad FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.8% | 25.6% | 37.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 36.8% | 25.6% | 37.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Al-Ittihad FC
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Ittihad FC match preview
Al-Ettifaq faces Al-Ittihad FC in the Saudi Arabia Pro League on October 20, 2026. According to our model, Al-Ettifaq has a 37% probability of winning, while Al-Ittihad FC stands at 38%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a probability of 8%. The expected goals for Al-Ettifaq is 1.58, and for Al-Ittihad FC, it is 1.61.
Recent form shows Al-Ettifaq with three draws, one win, and two losses, while Al-Ittihad FC has recorded four wins, one draw, and one loss. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match is 62%, and both teams scoring is projected at 65%. In their last two encounters, each team has secured one victory. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al-Ettifaq and Al-Ittihad FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.19
Al-Ettifaq and Al-Ittihad FC attack and defence ratings
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Ittihad FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Ittihad FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Ittihad FC | 37.6% | 2.66 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Ettifaq | 36.8% |
| Draw | 25.6% | |
| Al-Ittihad FC | 37.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.6% |
| No | 35.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Ittihad FC win | 19.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.4% | |
| Loss | 62.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.5% |
| 1-2 | 8.4% | |
| 2-1 | 8.3% |
Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Ittihad FC stats
Al-Ettifaq and Al-Ittihad FC recent form
| Al-Ettifaq |
DDDWLL |
| Al-Ittihad FC |
LWWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al-Ettifaq and Al-Ittihad FC season so far
Al-Ettifaq record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Al-Ittihad FC record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Ittihad FC head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | Al-Ettifaq | Al-Ittihad FC | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 1-3 |
| 2026-01-16 | Al-Ittihad FC | Al-Ettifaq | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.