Al-Fateh
vs
Al Khaleej Saihat
Garuda Lions Prediction: Al-Fateh
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Al-Fateh vs Al Khaleej Saihat overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Fateh vs Al Khaleej Saihat
| Probability | Al-Fateh | Draw | Al Khaleej Saihat |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.7% | 30.9% | 34.4% |
| Market | 40.5% | 27.4% | 32.1% |
| Final | 39.0% | 28.3% | 32.7% |
| Edge | -5.7% | +3.5% | +2.3% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.45, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Al-Fateh vs Al Khaleej Saihat match preview
Al-Fateh faces Al Khaleej Saihat in the Saudi Arabia Pro League, with our model assigning a 35% probability of victory for Al-Fateh, a 34% chance of a draw, and a 32% likelihood of an Al Khaleej Saihat win. The most probable scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Al-Fateh, with a 13% chance of occurring. Expected goals are close, with Al-Fateh at 1.03 and Al Khaleej Saihat at 0.97.
In terms of recent form, Al-Fateh has struggled with three losses and three draws in their last six matches, while Al Khaleej Saihat has recorded three draws, two losses, and one draw in the same period. Historically, Al-Fateh has won both of their last two encounters against Al Khaleej Saihat, contributing to a confidence grade of C for this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al-Fateh and Al Khaleej Saihat expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.32
Al-Fateh and Al Khaleej Saihat attack and defence ratings
Al-Fateh
Al Khaleej Saihat
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al-Fateh vs Al Khaleej Saihat markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Fateh | 39.0% | 2.56 | -5.7% | 2.45 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Fateh | 39.0% |
| Draw | 28.3% | |
| Al Khaleej Saihat | 32.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.4% |
| No | 51.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Fateh win | 15.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 65.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 11.2% | |
| 1-0 | 10.1% |
Al-Fateh vs Al Khaleej Saihat stats
Al-Fateh and Al Khaleej Saihat recent form
| Al-Fateh |
WLLLDD |
| Al Khaleej Saihat |
WDDDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al-Fateh and Al Khaleej Saihat season so far
Al-Fateh record
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.2 at home.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
Al Khaleej Saihat record
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Al-Fateh vs Al Khaleej Saihat head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | Al-Fateh | Al Khaleej Saihat | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 1-0 |
| 2025-12-29 | Al Khaleej Saihat | Al-Fateh | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 0-1 |
| 2025-04-12 | Al Khaleej Saihat | Al-Fateh | Pro League | 1-5 |
| 2024-11-09 | Al-Fateh | Al Khaleej Saihat | Pro League | 1-2 |
| 2024-03-09 | Al-Fateh | Al Khaleej Saihat | Pro League | 1-2 |
| 2023-09-15 | Al Khaleej Saihat | Al-Fateh | Pro League | 1-3 |
| 2023-04-06 | Al-Fateh | Al Khaleej Saihat | Pro League | 2-0 |
| 2022-10-11 | Al Khaleej Saihat | Al-Fateh | Pro League | 1-2 |
| 2017-04-29 | Al Khaleej Saihat | Al-Fateh | Pro League | 1-1 |
| 2016-12-10 | Al-Fateh | Al Khaleej Saihat | Pro League | 2-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Al-Fateh vs Al Khaleej Saihat odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.1%, draw 27.6%, away 32.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.30 | 3.49 | 2.87 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.30 | 2.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.30 | 2.88 |
| Betano | 2.45 | 3.45 | 2.85 |
| Betfair | 2.38 | 3.60 | 2.70 |
| Dafabet | 2.45 | 3.45 | 2.85 |
| Marathonbet | 2.20 | 3.34 | 2.74 |
| Pinnacle | 2.30 | 3.34 | 3.01 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.10 | 2.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .