Al-Hazm
vs
Al-Fateh
Garuda Lions Prediction: Al-Hazm
1 – 0 Predicted score · 15% model probability
Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh
| Probability | Al-Hazm | Draw | Al-Fateh |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.2% | 33.3% | 24.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 42.2% | 33.3% | 24.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Al-Hazm
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.34 vs 0.76.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh match preview
Al-Hazm will host Al-Fateh in the Saudi Arabia Pro League, with kickoff scheduled for October 15, 2026. According to our model, Al-Hazm has a 42% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 33% and Al-Fateh at 24%. The expected goals for Al-Hazm are 1.15, compared to Al-Fateh's 0.80. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 15% chance of occurring.
In terms of recent form, Al-Hazm has recorded one win and three draws in their last six matches, while Al-Fateh has not won in their last six, with two draws. The two teams have faced each other twice recently, resulting in two draws and no wins for either side. The probabilities indicate a competitive match, though Al-Hazm appears to have a slight edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al-Hazm and Al-Fateh expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.10
Al-Hazm and Al-Fateh attack and defence ratings
Al-Hazm
Al-Fateh
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Hazm | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Hazm | 42.2% |
| Draw | 33.3% | |
| Al-Fateh | 24.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 69.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.1% |
| No | 60.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Hazm win | 24.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.1% | |
| Loss | 50.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 15.5% |
| 1-0 | 14.9% | |
| 1-1 | 14.4% |
Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh stats
Al-Hazm and Al-Fateh recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al-Hazm and Al-Fateh season so far
Al-Hazm record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
Al-Fateh record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-01 | Al-Fateh | Al-Hazm | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Al-Hazm | Al-Fateh | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.