Saudi Arabia Pro League
·
Full time
·Matchday 9
Al-Hazm
vs
Al-Fateh
2 – 3 Full time
| 17′ | Sofiane Bendebka | ||
| 23′ | Abdulelah Al Khaibari | ||
| 27′ | Wilfried Kanga | ||
| 43′ | Ahmed Al-Shamrani | ||
| 49′ | Abdulaziz Al-Dwehe | ||
| 57′ | Zaydou YoussoufMihai Lixandru | ||
| 57′ | Sattam TumbuktiAbdul Rahman Al Khaibari | ||
| 66′ | Ahmed Al-ShamraniMohamed Amine Ben Hamida | ||
| 74′ | Abdulaziz Al-HarbiMohammed Eissa Saleh Al-Jamaan Al-Yami | ||
| 76′ | Kennedy Boateng | ||
| 80′ | Abdul Rahman Al KhaibariFahad Al Zubaidi | ||
| 80′ | Abdulelah Al KhaibariFaisal Abdulwahed | ||
| 85′ | Abdulaziz Al-DweheAboubacar·Diakite | ||
| 85′ | Sofiane BendebkaMory Konate | ||
| 85′ | Amir SaâyoudMohammed Al Hamdani | ||
| 88′ | Faisal Abdulwahed | ||
| 90′ | Lukáš HaraslínRobin Kelder | ||
| 90′ | Mourad Batna |
Al-Hazm
41%
Draw
27%
Al-Fateh
32%
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 43 | Possession % | 57 |
| 3 | Corners | 10 |
| 19 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 3 | Saves | 3 |
| 283 | Accurate passes | 274 |
Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh
| Probability | Al-Hazm | Draw | Al-Fateh |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.5% | 30.4% | 19.1% |
| Market | 38.0% | 25.9% | 36.1% |
| Final | 41.1% | 27.0% | 31.9% |
| Edge | +3.1% | +1.1% | -4.2% |
Why Al-Hazm
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.37 vs 0.74.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Al-Hazm below our published probability: +3.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
87%
2+ goals
64%
3+ goals
35%
No goals
13%
Al-Hazm and Al-Fateh expected goals
Al-Hazm
1.37
Al-Fateh
0.74
Total expected goals: 2.11
Al-Hazm and Al-Fateh attack and defence ratings
Al-Hazm
Attack
0.78 -22%
Defence
0.89 -11%
Al-Fateh
Attack
0.59 -41%
Defence
1.13 +13%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh: result vs prediction
Al-Hazm 2 – 3 Al-Fateh
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Al-Faisaly FC vs Al Kholood
- Al Khaleej Saihat v Al-Fayha — match page
- Al-Qadisiyah FC v Abha — match page
- NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq — team news & stats
- Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon
- Al Riyadh v Al-Hilal Saudi FC — match page
- Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Shabab — team news & stats
- Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Hazm | 41.1% | 2.43 | +3.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.4% | 2.03 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Hazm | 41.1% |
| Draw | 27.0% | |
| Al-Fateh | 31.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.4% |
| No | 59.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Hazm win | 25.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.3% | |
| Loss | 49.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.3% |
| 1-1 | 13.5% | |
| 0-0 | 13.3% |
Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh stats
Al-Hazm and Al-Fateh recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al-Hazm and Al-Fateh going into this match
Al-Hazm record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
Al-Fateh record
- They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They average 0.8 goals per game on the road against 0.2 at home.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Al-Hazm wins
2Draws
5Al-Fateh wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-01 | Al-Fateh | Al-Hazm | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Al-Hazm | Al-Fateh | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 0-0 |
| 2024-05-23 | Al-Fateh | Al-Hazm | Pro League | 2-1 |
| 2023-12-07 | Al-Hazm | Al-Fateh | Pro League | 2-0 |
| 2022-02-18 | Al-Hazm | Al-Fateh | Pro League | 0-1 |
| 2021-09-25 | Al-Fateh | Al-Hazm | Pro League | 0-1 |
| 2020-08-24 | Al-Hazm | Al-Fateh | Pro League | 3-4 |
| 2019-12-20 | Al-Fateh | Al-Hazm | Pro League | 2-1 |
| 2019-03-28 | Al-Hazm | Al-Fateh | Pro League | 1-0 |
| 2018-12-08 | Al-Fateh | Al-Hazm | Pro League | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.0%, draw 25.9%, away 36.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.48 | 3.56 | 2.59 |
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 3.60 | 2.45 |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.55 |
| Betano | 2.55 | 3.60 | 2.62 |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 3.60 | 2.63 |
| Dafabet | 2.50 | 3.70 | 2.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.38 | 3.40 | 2.48 |
| Pinnacle | 2.46 | 3.73 | 2.66 |
| SBO | 2.44 | 3.10 | 2.28 |
| William Hill | 2.38 | 3.30 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.45 ▼ -0.25
X
3.58 ▼ -0.02
2
2.57 ▲ +0.20
9 snapshots recorded, from .