Al-Ittihad FC
vs
Al Shabab
Garuda Lions Prediction: Al-Ittihad FC
2 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Shabab overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Shabab
| Probability | Al-Ittihad FC | Draw | Al Shabab |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.5% | 22.7% | 15.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 61.5% | 22.7% | 15.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Al-Ittihad FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 0.94.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al-Ittihad FC and Al Shabab expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.96
Al-Ittihad FC and Al Shabab attack and defence ratings
Al-Ittihad FC
Al Shabab
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Shabab markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Ittihad FC | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 38.6% | 2.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Ittihad FC | 61.5% |
| Draw | 22.7% | |
| Al Shabab | 15.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.9% |
| No | 46.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 38.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Ittihad FC win | 38.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 38.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.8% |
| 2-0 | 10.6% | |
| 2-1 | 9.9% |
Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Shabab stats
Al-Ittihad FC and Al Shabab recent form
| Al-Ittihad FC |
WWWDWW |
| Al Shabab |
DLLDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al-Ittihad FC and Al Shabab season so far
Al-Ittihad FC record
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Al Shabab record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Shabab head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Al Shabab | Al-Ittihad FC | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 3-2 |
| 2025-12-27 | Al-Ittihad FC | Al Shabab | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.