Al Diriyah
vs
Al Taawon
1 – 1 Full time
Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon
| Probability | Al Diriyah | Draw | Al Taawon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.9% | 29.8% | 16.3% |
| Market | 49.6% | 26.1% | 24.4% |
| Final | 50.6% | 27.0% | 22.4% |
| Edge | +4.3% | +3.7% | -8.0% |
Why Al Diriyah
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.41 vs 0.66.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Al Diriyah below the model: +4.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al Diriyah and Al Taawon expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.07
Al Diriyah and Al Taawon attack and defence ratings
Al Diriyah
Al Taawon
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon: result vs prediction
Al Diriyah 1 – 1 Al Taawon
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Al-Faisaly FC vs Al Kholood
- Al Khaleej Saihat v Al-Fayha — match page
- Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh
- Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr — team news & stats
- Al-Qadisiyah FC v Abha — match page
- Al Riyadh v Al-Hilal Saudi FC — match page
- Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Shabab — team news & stats
- NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Diriyah | 50.6% | 1.97 | +4.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.3% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.2% | 2.17 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Diriyah | 50.6% |
| Draw | 27.0% | |
| Al Taawon | 22.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.7% |
| No | 62.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al Diriyah win | 27.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.3% | |
| Loss | 46.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 16.6% |
| 0-0 | 13.8% | |
| 1-1 | 12.9% |
Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon stats
Al Diriyah and Al Taawon recent form
| Al Diriyah |
LDWLWD |
| Al Taawon |
LLLDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al Diriyah and Al Taawon going into this match
Al Diriyah record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.2 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Al Taawon record
- They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They average 0.8 goals per game on the road against 0.0 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 8 matches.
Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.9%, draw 26.2%, away 25.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.89 | 3.62 | 3.78 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.50 | 3.70 |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 3.50 | 3.80 |
| Betano | 2.12 | 3.50 | 3.45 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.75 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.09 | 3.60 | 3.45 |
| Marathonbet | 1.81 | 3.46 | 3.62 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93 | 3.63 | 3.84 |
| SBO | 1.95 | 3.12 | 2.97 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .