Al Riyadh
vs
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0 – 2 Predicted score · 12% model probability
Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
| Probability | Al Riyadh | Draw | Al-Hilal Saudi FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 5.8% | 13.2% | 81.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 5.8% | 13.2% | 81.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Al-Hilal Saudi FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.87 vs 0.70.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC match preview
Al Riyadh faces a challenging matchup against Al-Hilal Saudi FC in the Saudi Arabia Pro League. According to our model, Al Riyadh has a 6% chance of winning, while Al-Hilal is favored at 81%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 0-2, with a 12% probability. Al-Hilal's expected goals stand at 2.87, significantly higher than Al Riyadh's 0.70, indicating a potential disparity in attacking efficiency.
Recent form shows Al Riyadh with mixed results, recording one win, two draws, and three losses in their last six matches. In contrast, Al-Hilal is on a strong run, winning five of their last six encounters. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is 69%, while both teams scoring is estimated at 48%, suggesting a dominant performance from Al-Hilal is anticipated.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al Riyadh and Al-Hilal Saudi FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.57
Al Riyadh and Al-Hilal Saudi FC attack and defence ratings
Al Riyadh
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.2% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 94.2% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC win | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Riyadh | 5.8% |
| Draw | 13.2% | |
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 81.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.1% |
| No | 51.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 19.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 86.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 94.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC win | 62.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.9% | |
| Loss | 19.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 11.6% |
| 0-3 | 11.1% | |
| 1-2 | 8.1% |
Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC stats
Al Riyadh and Al-Hilal Saudi FC recent form
| Al Riyadh |
WDLWDL |
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC |
WLWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al Riyadh and Al-Hilal Saudi FC season so far
Al Riyadh record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC record
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 3.3 goals per match.
- They average 4.0 goals per game on the road against 2.3 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | Al Riyadh | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-29 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Al Riyadh | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.