Al-Qadisiyah FC
vs
Abha
Garuda Lions Prediction: Al-Qadisiyah FC
2 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha
| Probability | Al-Qadisiyah FC | Draw | Abha |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 80.1% | 13.6% | 6.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 80.1% | 13.6% | 6.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Al-Qadisiyah FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.83 vs 0.73.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha match preview
Al-Qadisiyah FC is favored to win against Abha, with a probability of 80% according to our model. The expected goals for Al-Qadisiyah FC stand at 2.84, while Abha is projected to score only 0.73. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, occurring with an 11% probability. Additionally, there is a 69% chance that the match will see over 2.5 goals.
In terms of recent form, Al-Qadisiyah FC has been performing strongly with five consecutive wins and a draw, while Abha has struggled, recording four losses and two draws in their last six matches. The probability of both teams scoring is at 49%, indicating a moderate expectation for Abha to find the net. Overall, the forecast suggests a dominant performance from Al-Qadisiyah FC.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al-Qadisiyah FC and Abha expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.56
Al-Qadisiyah FC and Abha attack and defence ratings
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Abha
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.9% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.8% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Qadisiyah FC win | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 80.1% |
| Draw | 13.6% | |
| Abha | 6.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.1% |
| No | 50.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 86.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 19.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Qadisiyah FC win | 60.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.2% | |
| Loss | 19.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.4% |
| 3-0 | 10.8% | |
| 2-1 | 8.3% |
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha stats
Al-Qadisiyah FC and Abha recent form
| Al-Qadisiyah FC |
WDWWWW |
| Abha |
DLLLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al-Qadisiyah FC and Abha season so far
Al-Qadisiyah FC record
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Abha record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.