Al-Qadisiyah FC
vs
Abha
2 – 1 Full time
| 7′ | Julian Weigl | ||
| 28′ | Ali Badra DiabatéYasir Al-Shahrani | ||
| 30′ | Mateo Retegui | ||
| 54′ | Nabil Fekir | ||
| 59′ | Khaled Al ShamraniSafwan Al Johani | ||
| 59′ | Nabil FekirNasser Al Daajani | ||
| 69′ | Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat | ||
| 70′ | Musab Al-JuwayrAbdullah Al-Salem | ||
| 70′ | Christopher Bonsu BaahTurki Al-Ammar | ||
| 76′ | Georges-Kévin N'KoudouAlimani Gory | ||
| 77′ | Mohammed Al-DosariAmar Al-Yuhaybi | ||
| 82′ | Firas Al-GhamdiBader Al Mutairi | ||
| 84′ | Mateo ReteguiMohammed Hamad Al-Qahtani | ||
| 85′ | Nahitan NándezEyad Housa | ||
| 86′ | Turki Al-Ammar | ||
| 90′ | Alimani Gory |
Match stats
| 8 | Shots | 6 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 66 | Possession % | 34 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Offsides | 3 |
| 0 | Saves | 2 |
| 600 | Accurate passes | 272 |
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha
| Probability | Al-Qadisiyah FC | Draw | Abha |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 80.3% | 13.6% | 6.2% |
| Market | 83.7% | 10.9% | 5.4% |
| Final | 82.9% | 11.5% | 5.6% |
| Edge | -0.9% | +0.7% | +0.2% |
Why Al-Qadisiyah FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.84 vs 0.72.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al-Qadisiyah FC and Abha expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.56
Al-Qadisiyah FC and Abha attack and defence ratings
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Abha
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha: result vs prediction
Al-Qadisiyah FC 2 – 1 Abha
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 82.9% | 1.21 | -0.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.4% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Qadisiyah FC win | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 82.9% |
| Draw | 11.5% | |
| Abha | 5.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.0% |
| No | 51.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 88.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 17.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Qadisiyah FC win | 61.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.1% | |
| Loss | 19.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.4% |
| 3-0 | 10.8% | |
| 2-1 | 8.3% |
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha stats
Al-Qadisiyah FC and Abha recent form
| Al-Qadisiyah FC |
WDWWWW |
| Abha |
DLLLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al-Qadisiyah FC and Abha going into this match
Al-Qadisiyah FC record
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game on the road against 2.2 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Abha record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-05-30 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | Abha | Pro League | 1-1 |
| 2021-01-24 | Abha | Al-Qadisiyah FC | Pro League | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Abha odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 83.7%, draw 10.9%, away 5.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.07 | 11.30 | 23.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.12 | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.10 | 8.00 | 17.00 |
| Betano | 1.14 | 8.00 | 19.50 |
| Betfair | 1.10 | 9.50 | 18.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.14 | 8.80 | 16.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.06 | 8.60 | 17.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.12 | 9.85 | 18.72 |
| SBO | 1.12 | 7.34 | 12.04 |
| William Hill | 1.10 | 8.50 | 15.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .