Al-Ettifaq
vs
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.13 vs 1.08.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
| Probability | Al-Ettifaq | Draw | Al-Hilal Saudi FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17.5% | 22.1% | 60.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 17.5% | 22.1% | 60.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Al-Hilal Saudi FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.13 vs 1.08.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC match preview
In the upcoming Saudi Arabia Pro League match, Al-Ettifaq will face Al-Hilal Saudi FC. According to our model, Al-Hilal has a strong probability of winning at 60%, while Al-Ettifaq stands at 18% and a draw at 22%. The expected goals for Al-Ettifaq are 1.08, compared to Al-Hilal's 2.13, indicating a potential for a high-scoring encounter. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, with a 10% chance.
Recent form shows Al-Ettifaq with mixed results, recording one win, one loss, and four draws in their last six matches. In contrast, Al-Hilal has been more consistent, achieving four wins and one loss in the same period. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is 62%, and both teams to score stands at 59%, suggesting an engaging match ahead.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al-Ettifaq and Al-Hilal Saudi FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.21
Al-Ettifaq and Al-Hilal Saudi FC attack and defence ratings
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.3% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.6% | 2.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Ettifaq | 17.5% |
| Draw | 22.1% | |
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 60.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.2% |
| No | 40.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 39.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 82.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC win | 38.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 39.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.2% |
| 1-2 | 9.9% | |
| 0-2 | 9.1% |
Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC stats
Al-Ettifaq and Al-Hilal Saudi FC recent form
| Al-Ettifaq |
WLWDDD |
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC |
WWWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al-Ettifaq and Al-Hilal Saudi FC season so far
Al-Ettifaq record
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC record
- They have won 9 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
- They average 3.8 goals per game on the road against 2.2 at home.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-13 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Al-Ettifaq | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 2-0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Al-Ettifaq | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 0-5 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.