Al-Faisaly FC
vs
Al Diriyah
Garuda Lions Prediction: Al-Faisaly FC
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Al-Faisaly FC vs Al Diriyah overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Faisaly FC vs Al Diriyah
| Probability | Al-Faisaly FC | Draw | Al Diriyah |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.3% | 32.6% | 33.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 34.3% | 32.6% | 33.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Al-Faisaly FC vs Al Diriyah match preview
Al-Faisaly FC faces Al Diriyah in the Saudi Arabia Pro League with both teams showing competitive form. Al-Faisaly FC has a probability of 34% to win, while Al Diriyah also holds a 33% chance, indicating a closely matched contest. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, occurring with a 12% probability.
In terms of expected goals, Al-Faisaly FC is projected to score 1.06, while Al Diriyah is slightly behind at 1.04. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 35%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 44%. Recent performances show Al-Faisaly FC with a mixed record of W-L-D-W-L-D, while Al Diriyah has a slightly better form of L-W-D-L-D-W.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al-Faisaly FC and Al Diriyah expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.10
Al-Faisaly FC and Al Diriyah attack and defence ratings
Al-Faisaly FC
Al Diriyah
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al-Faisaly FC vs Al Diriyah markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Faisaly FC | 34.3% | 2.91 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Faisaly FC | 34.3% |
| Draw | 32.6% | |
| Al Diriyah | 33.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.7% |
| No | 56.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Faisaly FC win | 14.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 65.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 13.6% | |
| 1-0 | 11.6% |
Al-Faisaly FC vs Al Diriyah stats
Al-Faisaly FC and Al Diriyah recent form
| Al-Faisaly FC |
WLDWLD |
| Al Diriyah |
LWDLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al-Faisaly FC and Al Diriyah season so far
Al-Faisaly FC record
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
Al Diriyah record
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).