Al-Ittihad FC
vs
NEOM
Garuda Lions Prediction: Al-Ittihad FC
1 – 0 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Al-Ittihad FC vs NEOM overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Ittihad FC vs NEOM
| Probability | Al-Ittihad FC | Draw | NEOM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.6% | 28.9% | 30.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 40.6% | 28.9% | 30.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Al-Ittihad FC
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Al-Ittihad FC vs NEOM match preview
Al-Ittihad FC faces NEOM in the Saudi Arabia Pro League with a kickoff scheduled for November 5, 2026. According to our model, Al-Ittihad FC has a 41% probability of winning, while NEOM stands at 30%, with a 29% chance of a draw. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 1-0 in favor of Al-Ittihad FC, occurring at a rate of 9%. Expected goals suggest Al-Ittihad FC will score 1.39, compared to NEOM's 1.17.
In terms of recent form, Al-Ittihad FC has been strong, recording four wins and one loss in their last six matches. NEOM's form shows three wins, two losses, and one draw in the same period. The head-to-head record is evenly matched over the last two encounters, with each team having one victory. The model indicates a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% likelihood that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al-Ittihad FC and NEOM expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.56
Al-Ittihad FC and NEOM attack and defence ratings
Al-Ittihad FC
NEOM
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Al-Ahli Jeddah v Al Taawon — match page
- Al-Faisaly FC vs Al Diriyah — team news & stats
- Al-Fateh vs Al Riyadh
- Al-Qadisiyah FC v Al-Fayha — match page
- Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC — team news & stats
- Al-Hazm v Al-Nassr — match page
- Abha vs Al Shabab — team news & stats
- Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej Saihat
Before and after this match
Al-Ittihad FC vs NEOM markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Ittihad FC | 40.6% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Ittihad FC | 40.6% |
| Draw | 28.9% | |
| NEOM | 30.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.1% |
| No | 46.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Ittihad FC win | 19.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 59.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 1-0 | 9.5% | |
| 0-0 | 9.0% |
Al-Ittihad FC vs NEOM stats
Al-Ittihad FC and NEOM recent form
| Al-Ittihad FC |
WWLWWW |
| NEOM |
WLLDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al-Ittihad FC and NEOM season so far
Al-Ittihad FC record
- They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
NEOM record
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Al-Ittihad FC vs NEOM head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | Al-Ittihad FC | NEOM | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 3-4 |
| 2025-12-31 | NEOM | Al-Ittihad FC | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.