Abha
vs
Al-Ittihad FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Al-Ittihad FC
0 – 2 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.05 vs 0.94.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Abha vs Al-Ittihad FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Abha vs Al-Ittihad FC
| Probability | Abha | Draw | Al-Ittihad FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 15.4% | 22.5% | 62.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 15.4% | 22.5% | 62.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Al-Ittihad FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.05 vs 0.94.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Abha vs Al-Ittihad FC match preview
Abha faces Al-Ittihad FC in the Saudi Arabia Pro League with a kickoff scheduled for October 30, 2026. According to our model, Abha has a 17% chance of winning, while Al-Ittihad FC holds a 61% probability of victory, with a draw at 23%. The expected goals for Abha is 1.01, compared to Al-Ittihad FC's 2.06, indicating a likely advantage for the visitors.
Recent form shows Abha struggling with five games without a win (L-D-L-L-L-D), while Al-Ittihad FC has been in better shape, winning four of their last five matches (W-L-W-W-W-D). The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-2, with a 10% probability. Additionally, there is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% likelihood that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Abha and Al-Ittihad FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.98
Abha and Al-Ittihad FC attack and defence ratings
Abha
Al-Ittihad FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Abha vs Al-Ittihad FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Ittihad FC | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 84.6% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Ittihad FC win | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Abha | 15.4% |
| Draw | 22.5% | |
| Al-Ittihad FC | 62.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.9% |
| No | 46.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 37.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 84.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Ittihad FC win | 39.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 37.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.7% |
| 0-2 | 10.6% | |
| 1-2 | 9.9% |
Abha vs Al-Ittihad FC stats
Abha and Al-Ittihad FC recent form
| Abha |
LDLLLD |
| Al-Ittihad FC |
WWLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Abha and Al-Ittihad FC season so far
Abha record
- They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Al-Ittihad FC record
- They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).