Saudi Arabia Pro League Β· Β·Matchday 12

Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Hazm

Garuda Lions Prediction: Al Khaleej Saihat

2 – 1 Predicted score Β· 8% model probability

  • WhyBetter recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this β€” Al Khaleej Saihat is the favourite, not a value bet.

Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium, Dammam

Al Khaleej Saihat 42%
Draw 27%
Al-Hazm 31%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance Al Khaleej Saihat wins
42%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
92%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
55%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
8% of simulated outcomes

Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Hazm overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Hazm

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAl Khaleej SaihatDrawAl-Hazm
Model32.2%28.4%39.5%
Market44.8%26.7%28.4%
Final41.7%27.1%31.2%
Edge-3.2%+0.4%+2.8%

Confidence: Low Β· Edge = Final minus Market

Why Al Khaleej Saihat

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Best available price on the pick: 2.15, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -10.4% per unit staked (our 41.7% Γ— 2.15 βˆ’ 1).

Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Hazm match preview

Al Khaleej Saihat faces Al-Hazm in the Saudi Arabia Pro League with a forecasted probability of 37% for a home win, 30% for a draw, and 34% for an away victory. The expected goals for Al Khaleej Saihat stand at 1.29, while Al-Hazm is projected at 1.21. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, occurring at a rate of 9%.

In terms of recent form, Al Khaleej Saihat has recorded two wins and three draws in their last six matches, while Al-Hazm has one win, two draws, and three losses. The likelihood of both teams scoring is estimated at 52%, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match. Historically, Al Khaleej Saihat has won both of their last encounters against Al-Hazm.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Al Khaleej Sai ↓ / Al-Hazm β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 9% 7% 1 8% 14% 9% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Al Khaleej Saihat and Al-Hazm expected goals

Al Khaleej Saihat 1.25
Al-Hazm 1.41

Total expected goals: 2.66

Al Khaleej Saihat and Al-Hazm attack and defence ratings

Al Khaleej Saihat

Attack 0.78 -22%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Al-Hazm

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Saudi Arabia Pro League

Before and after this match

Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Hazm markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Al Khaleej Saihat 41.7% 2.40 -3.2% 2.15
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.3% 1.99 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 55.2% 1.81 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.9% 1.37 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 67.8% 1.47 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Al Khaleej Saihat41.7%
Draw27.1%
Al-Hazm31.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.7%
Under 2.550.3%
Both teams to scoreYes55.2%
No44.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.8%
12 (either side)72.9%
X2 (draw or away)58.3%
Handicap -1Al Khaleej Saihat win14.3%
Push (exactly one goal)17.9%
Loss67.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.6%
1-28.7%
0-18.6%

Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Hazm stats

Al Khaleej Saihat and Al-Hazm recent form

newest first
Al Khaleej Saihat LWWDDD
Al-Hazm DLLDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Al Khaleej Saihat and Al-Hazm season so far

league record

Al Khaleej Saihat record

  • They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Al-Hazm record

  • They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.

Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Hazm head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

2Al Khaleej Saihat wins 0Draws 0Al-Hazm wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-06Al Khaleej SaihatAl-HazmSaudi Arabia Pro League2-1
2025-11-06Al-HazmAl Khaleej SaihatSaudi Arabia Pro League1-4

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Hazm odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.8%, draw 26.7%, away 28.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.10 3.45 3.28
Betano 2.15 3.50 3.35
Betfair 2.05 3.60 3.25
Marathonbet 2.01 3.30 3.14
Pinnacle 2.09 3.54 3.28
William Hill 2.00 3.20 3.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.07 β€”
X 3.48 β€”
2 3.26 β€”

3 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Al Khaleej Saihat Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
v Bet Now