Saudi Arabia Pro League Β· Β·Matchday 12

Al-Fayha vs Al-Faisaly FC

Garuda Lions Prediction: Al-Fayha

2 – 1 Predicted score Β· 9% model probability

  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

King Abdullah Sports City Stadium, Buraidah

Al-Fayha 40%
Draw 26%
Al-Faisaly FC 33%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Al-Fayha wins
40%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
94%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
61%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
9% of simulated outcomes

Al-Fayha vs Al-Faisaly FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Fayha vs Al-Faisaly FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAl-FayhaDrawAl-Faisaly FC
Model40.4%26.4%33.2%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final40.4%26.4%33.2%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Al-Fayha vs Al-Faisaly FC match preview

In the upcoming match between Al-Fayha and Al-Faisaly FC, the model indicates a 40% probability of a win for Al-Fayha, while Al-Faisaly FC has a 33% chance of victory, and a draw stands at 26%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1 in favor of Al-Fayha, with a 9% likelihood. The expected goals are 1.59 for Al-Fayha and 1.42 for Al-Faisaly FC, suggesting a competitive encounter.

Recent form shows Al-Fayha struggling with a record of D-L-L-D-D-L, while Al-Faisaly FC has a mixed performance with L-D-W-L-D-D. The model indicates a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% probability that both teams will score, highlighting the potential for an engaging match.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Al-Fayha ↓ / Al-Faisaly FC β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 12% 8% 2 6% 9% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 58%
No goals 6%

Al-Fayha and Al-Faisaly FC expected goals

Al-Fayha 1.59
Al-Faisaly FC 1.42

Total expected goals: 3.01

Al-Fayha and Al-Faisaly FC attack and defence ratings

Al-Fayha

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Al-Faisaly FC

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Saudi Arabia Pro League

Before and after this match

Al-Fayha vs Al-Faisaly FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Al-Fayha 40.4% 2.48 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 57.9% 1.73 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 61.5% 1.63 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.6% 1.36 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 59.6% 1.68 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Al-Fayha40.4%
Draw26.4%
Al-Faisaly FC33.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.557.9%
Under 2.542.1%
Both teams to scoreYes61.5%
No38.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.8%
12 (either side)73.6%
X2 (draw or away)59.6%
Handicap -1Al-Fayha win20.8%
Push (exactly one goal)19.6%
Loss59.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.3%
2-18.8%
1-27.9%

Al-Fayha vs Al-Faisaly FC stats

Al-Fayha and Al-Faisaly FC recent form

newest first
Al-Fayha DLLDDL
Al-Faisaly FC LDWLDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Al-Fayha and Al-Faisaly FC season so far

league record

Al-Fayha record

  • They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Al-Faisaly FC record

  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

Al-Fayha vs Al-Faisaly FC head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards β€” these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Al-Fayha vs Al-Faisaly FC odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Al-Fayha Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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