Al-Hazm
vs
Al-Fayha
Garuda Lions Prediction: Al-Hazm
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha
| Probability | Al-Hazm | Draw | Al-Fayha |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.6% | 30.2% | 26.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 43.6% | 30.2% | 26.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Al-Hazm
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.34 vs 0.99.
Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha match preview
Al-Hazm and Al-Fayha are set to face off in the Saudi Arabia Pro League, with Al-Hazm holding a 41% probability of winning, compared to Al-Fayha's 27%. The expected goals for Al-Hazm stand at 1.21, while Al-Fayha is projected at 0.94. Recent form shows Al-Hazm with a record of D-L-W-D-D-L, and Al-Fayha with D-D-L-D-W-D, indicating a competitive matchup.
The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0 in favor of Al-Hazm, occurring with a 13% probability. There is a 37% chance that the match will see over 2.5 goals, and a 44% likelihood that both teams will score. In their last two encounters, Al-Hazm has secured 1 win and 1 draw against Al-Fayha, who has yet to achieve a victory in this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al-Hazm and Al-Fayha expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.33
Al-Hazm and Al-Fayha attack and defence ratings
Al-Hazm
Al-Fayha
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Hazm | 43.6% | 2.29 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.5% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.8% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Hazm | 43.6% |
| Draw | 30.2% | |
| Al-Fayha | 26.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.5% |
| No | 52.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Hazm win | 21.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 56.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 1-0 | 11.8% | |
| 0-0 | 11.1% |
Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha stats
Al-Hazm and Al-Fayha recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al-Hazm and Al-Fayha season so far
Al-Hazm record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
Al-Fayha record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Al-Hazm | Al-Fayha | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 2-0 |
| 2025-12-25 | Al-Fayha | Al-Hazm | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.