Al Taawon
vs
Al-Ettifaq
Garuda Lions Prediction: Al-Ettifaq
0 – 1 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 0.80.
- RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Al Taawon vs Al-Ettifaq overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al Taawon vs Al-Ettifaq
| Probability | Al Taawon | Draw | Al-Ettifaq |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16.3% | 26.0% | 57.7% |
| Market | 43.3% | 25.6% | 31.1% |
| Final | 36.5% | 25.7% | 37.8% |
| Edge | -6.7% | +0.1% | +6.6% |
Why Al-Ettifaq
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 0.80.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Al-Ettifaq below our published probability: +6.6 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 3.10, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +17.1% per unit staked (our 37.8% × 3.10 − 1).
Al Taawon vs Al-Ettifaq match preview
In the upcoming Saudi Arabia Pro League match, Al Taawon faces Al-Ettifaq with kickoff scheduled for October 31, 2026. According to our model, Al Taawon has a 19% probability of winning, while Al-Ettifaq stands at 53%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 13%. Al Taawon has struggled recently, recording a series of results including four losses and two draws, while Al-Ettifaq has shown better form with one win, three draws, and one loss in their last six matches.
Expected goals suggest a challenging match for Al Taawon, with an expected total of 0.82 compared to Al-Ettifaq's 1.55. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 42%, and both teams to score is estimated at 45%. The head-to-head record from the last two encounters shows both teams with one win each, indicating a competitive matchup ahead.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al Taawon and Al-Ettifaq expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.51
Al Taawon and Al-Ettifaq attack and defence ratings
Al Taawon
Al-Ettifaq
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Al Khaleej Saihat v Al-Hazm — match page
- Al-Nassr v Al Kholood — match page
- Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC — team news & stats
- Abha v Al-Ittihad FC — match page
- Al Diriyah vs NEOM
- Al Shabab vs Al-Ahli Jeddah — team news & stats
- Al-Fayha vs Al-Faisaly FC
- Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Fateh — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Al Taawon vs Al-Ettifaq markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Ettifaq | 37.8% | 2.65 | +6.6% | 3.10 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.2% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.3% | 2.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Taawon | 36.5% |
| Draw | 25.7% | |
| Al-Ettifaq | 37.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.3% |
| No | 53.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Ettifaq win | 33.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.7% | |
| Loss | 42.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 12.8% |
| 1-1 | 12.3% | |
| 0-2 | 11.8% |
Al Taawon vs Al-Ettifaq stats
Al Taawon and Al-Ettifaq recent form
| Al Taawon |
LLDLLL |
| Al-Ettifaq |
WLWDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al Taawon and Al-Ettifaq season so far
Al Taawon record
- They have won 0 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They average 0.8 goals per game on the road against 0.0 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 10 matches.
Al-Ettifaq record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Al Taawon vs Al-Ettifaq head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-03 | Al-Ettifaq | Al Taawon | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-18 | Al Taawon | Al-Ettifaq | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Al Taawon vs Al-Ettifaq odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.3%, draw 25.6%, away 31.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.17 | 3.64 | 2.99 |
| Betano | 2.20 | 3.70 | 3.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.08 | 3.48 | 2.86 |
| Pinnacle | 2.15 | 3.72 | 2.99 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.30 | 2.88 |