Al-Ahli Jeddah
vs
Al Taawon
Garuda Lions Prediction: Al-Ahli Jeddah
3 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.08 vs 0.67.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Taawon overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Taawon
| Probability | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Draw | Al Taawon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 84.2% | 11.3% | 4.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 84.2% | 11.3% | 4.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Al-Ahli Jeddah
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.08 vs 0.67.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Taawon match preview
Al-Ahli Jeddah is heavily favored to win against Al Taawon, with a probability of 84% according to our model. The expected goals for Al-Ahli Jeddah stand at 3.08, while Al Taawon is projected to score only 0.67. Recent form further supports this outlook, as Al-Ahli Jeddah has recorded four wins and one loss in their last six matches, while Al Taawon has struggled significantly with six consecutive games without a win.
The most likely scoreline predicted is 3-0, occurring at an 11% probability. Additionally, there is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match, while both teams scoring is estimated at 47%. In their last two encounters, Al-Ahli Jeddah has secured two victories against Al Taawon, contributing to the confidence in their performance for this upcoming fixture.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al-Ahli Jeddah and Al Taawon expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.75
Al-Ahli Jeddah and Al Taawon attack and defence ratings
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al Taawon
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Taawon markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 95.4% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Ahli Jeddah win | 66.9% | 1.50 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 84.2% |
| Draw | 11.3% | |
| Al Taawon | 4.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 27.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.9% |
| No | 53.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 95.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 88.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 15.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Ahli Jeddah win | 66.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.3% | |
| Loss | 15.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-0 | 11.5% |
| 2-0 | 11.2% | |
| 4-0 | 8.9% |
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Taawon stats
Al-Ahli Jeddah and Al Taawon recent form
| Al-Ahli Jeddah |
WWWWLW |
| Al Taawon |
LLDLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al-Ahli Jeddah and Al Taawon season so far
Al-Ahli Jeddah record
- They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
- They average 4.0 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
Al Taawon record
- They have won 0 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They average 0.8 goals per game on the road against 0.0 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 11 matches.
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Taawon head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 | Al Taawon | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 1-2 |
| 2026-01-14 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Al Taawon | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.