Al-Qadisiyah FC
vs
Al-Fayha
Garuda Lions Prediction: Al-Qadisiyah FC
3 – 0 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.03 vs 0.89.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Fayha overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Fayha
| Probability | Al-Qadisiyah FC | Draw | Al-Fayha |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 79.5% | 13.2% | 7.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 79.5% | 13.2% | 7.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Al-Qadisiyah FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.03 vs 0.89.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Fayha match preview
Al-Qadisiyah FC enters this match with a strong probability of winning at 80%, reflecting their recent form of four wins in their last five matches, alongside a draw. In contrast, Al-Fayha has struggled, managing only two draws and four losses in their last six games. The expected goals for Al-Qadisiyah FC stand at 3.03, while Al-Fayha is projected to score just 0.89, indicating a significant disparity in offensive performance.
The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 3-0, with a 9% probability. Additionally, there is a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match, and both teams to score has a 56% likelihood. Historically, Al-Qadisiyah FC has dominated their recent encounters with Al-Fayha, winning both of their last two meetings without conceding.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Fayha expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.92
Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Fayha attack and defence ratings
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Fayha
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Fayha markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Qadisiyah FC win | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 79.5% |
| Draw | 13.2% | |
| Al-Fayha | 7.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 25.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.5% |
| No | 43.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 92.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 86.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 20.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Qadisiyah FC win | 61.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.1% | |
| Loss | 20.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-0 | 9.2% |
| 2-0 | 9.1% | |
| 3-1 | 8.2% |
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Fayha stats
Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Fayha recent form
| Al-Qadisiyah FC |
WLWWWD |
| Al-Fayha |
DLLDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Fayha season so far
Al-Qadisiyah FC record
- They have won 8 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Al-Fayha record
- They have won 1 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Fayha head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Al-Fayha | Al-Qadisiyah FC | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 1-2 |
| 2026-01-14 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | Al-Fayha | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 5-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.