Al Shabab
vs
Al Taawon
Garuda Lions Prediction: Al Shabab
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
Al Shabab vs Al Taawon overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al Shabab vs Al Taawon
| Probability | Al Shabab | Draw | Al Taawon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.1% | 30.0% | 25.9% |
| Market | 42.5% | 25.3% | 32.3% |
| Final | 42.9% | 26.4% | 30.7% |
| Edge | +1.7% | +4.7% | -6.4% |
Why Al Shabab
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.36 vs 0.99.
Best available price on the pick: 2.27, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Al Shabab vs Al Taawon match preview
Al Shabab faces Al Taawon in the Saudi Arabia Pro League, with kickoff scheduled for October 11, 2026. Al Shabab has a 43% probability of winning, while Al Taawon stands at 31%, and a draw is forecasted at 27%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Al Shabab, with a probability of 12%. Expected goals suggest Al Shabab will score 1.37, compared to Al Taawon's 0.98.
In terms of recent form, Al Shabab has recorded a series of draws and losses, with their latest results being D-L-L-D-D-D. Al Taawon has struggled similarly, with their recent form showing L-L-D-L-D-L. Historically, in their last two encounters, Al Taawon has won both matches against Al Shabab, indicating a competitive edge. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, reflecting a blend of probabilities and market odds.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al Shabab and Al Taawon expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.35
Al Shabab and Al Taawon attack and defence ratings
Al Shabab
Al Taawon
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al Shabab vs Al Taawon markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Shabab | 42.9% | 2.33 | +1.7% | 2.27 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Shabab | 42.9% |
| Draw | 26.4% | |
| Al Taawon | 30.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.9% |
| No | 52.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al Shabab win | 21.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 56.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 1-0 | 11.7% | |
| 0-0 | 10.9% |
Al Shabab vs Al Taawon stats
Al Shabab and Al Taawon recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al Shabab and Al Taawon season so far
Al Shabab record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Al Taawon record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.0 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
Al Shabab vs Al Taawon head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Al Shabab | Al Taawon | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 1-5 |
| 2026-01-09 | Al Taawon | Al Shabab | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Al Shabab vs Al Taawon odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.5%, draw 25.3%, away 32.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.21 | 3.68 | 2.90 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.50 | 2.75 |
| Betano | 2.27 | 3.75 | 2.92 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.80 | 2.88 |
| Dafabet | 2.24 | 3.80 | 2.95 |
| Marathonbet | 2.11 | 3.52 | 2.77 |
| Pinnacle | 2.19 | 3.81 | 2.88 |
| SBO | 2.08 | 3.23 | 2.62 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.30 | 2.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .