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Saudi Arabia Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 8

Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC

3 – 2 Full time

11′Gabriel Martinelli
22′Youssef En-Nesyri
30′Ollie Watkins
37′Rúben Neves
38′Dion Lopy
58′Marwan Al-SahafiGeorginio Wijnaldum
64′Crysencio Summerville
67′Saimon BouabreMohamed Kanno
67′Theo HernandezMoteb Al-Harbi
69′Faris AbdiMuath Faquihi
69′Muhannad Al-ShanqeetiAhmed Al Julaydan
73′Steven Bergwijn
81′Ollie WatkinsSultan Mandash
81′Nasser Al-DawsariMurad Al Hawsawi
83′Ahmed Al-GhamdiMukhtar Ali
83′Houssem AouarSaleh Al-Shehri
89′Steven Bergwijn
90′Hassan Al-TambaktiAli Lajami
90′Predrag Rajković

Kingdom Arena, RiyadhReferee: Khalid Al-Turais

Al-Hilal Saudi FC 72%
Draw 17%
Al-Ittihad FC 11%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

16 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 5
48 Possession % 52
9 Corners 4
14 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 1
3 Saves 4
330 Accurate passes 373

Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAl-Hilal Saudi FCDrawAl-Ittihad FC
Model68.1%19.6%12.3%
Market73.1%15.9%11.1%
Final71.8%16.8%11.4%
Edge-1.2%+0.9%+0.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Al-Hilal Saudi FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.31 vs 0.90.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Al-Hilal Saudi ↓ / Al-Ittihad FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 9% 2 11% 10% 3 8% 7% 4+ 8% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Al-Hilal Saudi FC and Al-Ittihad FC expected goals

Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2.31
Al-Ittihad FC 0.90

Total expected goals: 3.22

Al-Hilal Saudi FC and Al-Ittihad FC attack and defence ratings

Al-Hilal Saudi FC

Attack 1.69 +69%
Defence 0.55 -45%

Al-Ittihad FC

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC: result vs prediction

Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3 – 2 Al-Ittihad FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Saudi Arabia Pro League

Before and after this match

Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC 71.8% 1.39 -1.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.4% 1.60 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.5% 1.84 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 88.6% 1.13 — —
Handicap -1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC win 45.9% 2.18 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Al-Hilal Saudi FC71.8%
Draw16.8%
Al-Ittihad FC11.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.4%
Under 2.537.6%
Both teams to scoreYes54.5%
No45.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)88.6%
12 (either side)83.2%
X2 (draw or away)28.2%
Handicap -1Al-Hilal Saudi FC win45.9%
Push (exactly one goal)22.2%
Loss31.9%
Correct score (top 3)2-010.7%
2-19.7%
1-19.2%

Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC stats

Al-Hilal Saudi FC and Al-Ittihad FC recent form

newest first
Al-Hilal Saudi FC WLWWWW
Al-Ittihad FC WWWDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Al-Hilal Saudi FC and Al-Ittihad FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Al-Hilal Saudi FC record

  • They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 3.3 goals per match.
  • They average 4.0 goals per game on the road against 2.3 at home.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).

Al-Ittihad FC record

  • They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).

Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7Al-Hilal Saudi FC wins 2Draws 1Al-Ittihad FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-21Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Ittihad FCSaudi Arabia Pro League1-1
2025-10-24Al-Ittihad FCAl-Hilal Saudi FCSaudi Arabia Pro League0-2
2025-02-22Al-Ittihad FCAl-Hilal Saudi FCPro League4-1
2025-01-07Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Ittihad FCKing's Cup2-2
2024-09-21Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Ittihad FCPro League3-1
2024-04-30Al-Ittihad FCAl-Hilal Saudi FCKing's Cup1-2
2024-04-11Al-Ittihad FCAl-Hilal Saudi FCSuper Cup1-4
2024-03-12Al-Ittihad FCAl-Hilal Saudi FCAFC Champions League0-2
2024-03-05Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Ittihad FCAFC Champions League2-0
2024-03-01Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Ittihad FCPro League3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 73.1%, draw 15.9%, away 11.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.24 6.50 9.00
Bet365 1.27 5.25 8.00
BetVictor 1.25 5.50 8.50
Betano 1.32 5.90 8.25
Betfair 1.25 6.00 9.00
Marathonbet 1.22 5.75 8.00
Pinnacle 1.28 6.54 8.74
SBO 1.28 5.22 6.66
William Hill 1.25 5.50 7.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.25 —
X 5.75 ▼ -0.20
2 8.25 ▲ +0.25

14 snapshots recorded, from .