Al-Hilal Saudi FC
vs
Al-Ittihad FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC
| Probability | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Draw | Al-Ittihad FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 68.2% | 19.6% | 12.3% |
| Market | 72.5% | 16.0% | 11.5% |
| Final | 71.4% | 16.9% | 11.7% |
| Edge | -4.3% | +3.6% | +0.7% |
Why Al-Hilal Saudi FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.31 vs 0.90.
Best available price on the pick: 1.32, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC match preview
In the upcoming Saudi Arabia Pro League match, Al-Hilal Saudi FC faces Al-Ittihad FC on October 10, 2026. Al-Hilal holds a strong probability of winning at 72%, while Al-Ittihad has a 12% chance, and the likelihood of a draw stands at 16%. The expected goals for Al-Hilal are 2.33, significantly higher than Al-Ittihad's 0.90, indicating a potential advantage for the home side.
Recent form shows Al-Hilal with a series of victories, recording five wins and one loss in their last six matches. In contrast, Al-Ittihad has also performed well, with five wins, one draw, and no losses in their recent outings. The most likely scoreline is projected at 2-0 in favor of Al-Hilal, with a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% probability that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC and Al-Ittihad FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.22
Al-Hilal Saudi FC and Al-Ittihad FC attack and defence ratings
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Ittihad FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 71.4% | 1.40 | -4.3% | 1.32 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.3% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC win | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 71.4% |
| Draw | 16.9% | |
| Al-Ittihad FC | 11.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.4% |
| No | 45.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 83.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 28.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC win | 45.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 31.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 10.7% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 1-1 | 9.2% |
Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC stats
Al-Hilal Saudi FC and Al-Ittihad FC recent form
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC |
WLWWWW |
| Al-Ittihad FC |
WWWDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC and Al-Ittihad FC season so far
Al-Hilal Saudi FC record
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 3.3 goals per match.
- They average 4.0 goals per game on the road against 2.3 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Al-Ittihad FC record
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Al-Ittihad FC | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-24 | Al-Ittihad FC | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 0-2 |
| 2025-02-22 | Al-Ittihad FC | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Pro League | 4-1 |
| 2025-01-07 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Al-Ittihad FC | King's Cup | 2-2 |
| 2024-09-21 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Al-Ittihad FC | Pro League | 3-1 |
| 2024-04-30 | Al-Ittihad FC | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | King's Cup | 1-2 |
| 2024-04-11 | Al-Ittihad FC | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Super Cup | 1-4 |
| 2024-03-12 | Al-Ittihad FC | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | AFC Champions League | 0-2 |
| 2024-03-05 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Al-Ittihad FC | AFC Champions League | 2-0 |
| 2024-03-01 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Al-Ittihad FC | Pro League | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 72.5%, draw 16.0%, away 11.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.24 | 6.50 | 9.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.28 | 5.00 | 7.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.29 | 5.50 | 8.00 |
| Betano | 1.32 | 5.90 | 8.00 |
| Betfair | 1.25 | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.22 | 5.75 | 8.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.28 | 6.18 | 7.90 |
| SBO | 1.27 | 4.83 | 5.90 |
| William Hill | 1.25 | 5.50 | 6.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .