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Saudi Arabia Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 8

Al-Fateh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah

0 – 4 Full time

Maydan Tamweel Al-Oula, Al-HasaReferee: Abdullah Al Owaidan

Al-Fateh 15%
Draw 20%
Al-Ahli Jeddah 65%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Al-Fateh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Fateh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAl-FatehDrawAl-Ahli Jeddah
Model13.9%22.2%63.8%
Market15.3%19.1%65.6%
Final15.0%19.9%65.1%
Edge-1.4%+3.1%-1.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Al-Ahli Jeddah

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.05 vs 0.85.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Al-Fateh ↓ / Al-Ahli Jeddah → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 10% 12% 8% 6% 1 11% 10% 7% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 55%
No goals 6%

Al-Fateh and Al-Ahli Jeddah expected goals

Al-Fateh 0.85
Al-Ahli Jeddah 2.05

Total expected goals: 2.90

Al-Fateh and Al-Ahli Jeddah attack and defence ratings

Al-Fateh

Attack 0.63 -37%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Al-Ahli Jeddah

Attack 1.50 +50%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Al-Fateh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah: result vs prediction

Al-Fateh 0 – 4 Al-Ahli Jeddah

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Saudi Arabia Pro League

Before and after this match

Al-Fateh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Al-Ahli Jeddah 65.1% 1.54 -1.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.4% 1.81 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.1% 1.96 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 85.0% 1.18 — —
Handicap -1 Al-Ahli Jeddah win 40.7% 2.46 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Al-Fateh15.0%
Draw19.9%
Al-Ahli Jeddah65.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.4%
Under 2.544.6%
Both teams to scoreYes51.1%
No48.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)34.9%
12 (either side)80.1%
X2 (draw or away)85.0%
Handicap -1Al-Ahli Jeddah win40.7%
Push (exactly one goal)23.4%
Loss35.9%
Correct score (top 3)0-211.5%
1-110.6%
0-110.3%

Al-Fateh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah stats

Al-Fateh and Al-Ahli Jeddah recent form

newest first
Al-Fateh LLDDDL
Al-Ahli Jeddah WLWLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Al-Fateh and Al-Ahli Jeddah going into this match

league record before kick-off

Al-Fateh record

  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.

Al-Ahli Jeddah record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
  • They average 4.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).

Al-Fateh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Al-Fateh wins 2Draws 4Al-Ahli Jeddah wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-06Al-Ahli JeddahAl-FatehSaudi Arabia Pro League3-1
2025-12-26Al-FatehAl-Ahli JeddahSaudi Arabia Pro League2-1
2025-02-07Al-Ahli JeddahAl-FatehPro League2-0
2024-08-27Al-FatehAl-Ahli JeddahPro League1-0
2024-03-02Al-Ahli JeddahAl-FatehPro League1-1
2023-09-02Al-FatehAl-Ahli JeddahPro League5-1
2022-02-11Al-FatehAl-Ahli JeddahPro League0-1
2021-09-17Al-Ahli JeddahAl-FatehPro League1-1
2021-03-20Al-FatehAl-Ahli JeddahPro League4-1
2020-12-22Al-Ahli JeddahAl-FatehPro League1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Al-Fateh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 15.3%, draw 19.1%, away 65.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 6.19 5.21 1.40
Bet365 5.50 4.33 1.42
BetVictor 6.00 4.75 1.40
Betano 6.20 4.80 1.47
Betfair 6.50 5.00 1.40
Dafabet 6.00 5.00 1.47
Marathonbet 5.70 4.80 1.36
Pinnacle 6.05 5.24 1.43
SBO 5.03 4.22 1.36
William Hill 5.00 4.40 1.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 6.00 ▲ +0.08
X 4.80 ▼ -0.15
2 1.40 —

13 snapshots recorded, from .