Al-Hazm
vs
NEOM
Garuda Lions Prediction: NEOM
0 – 1 Predicted score · 12% model probability
Al-Hazm vs NEOM overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Hazm vs NEOM
| Probability | Al-Hazm | Draw | NEOM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.8% | 28.6% | 48.5% |
| Market | 22.7% | 24.1% | 53.3% |
| Final | 22.7% | 25.2% | 52.1% |
| Edge | +0.2% | +4.6% | -4.8% |
Why NEOM
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.49 vs 0.95.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.79, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Al-Hazm vs NEOM match preview
In the upcoming Saudi Arabia Pro League match, Al-Hazm faces NEOM with kickoff scheduled for October 10, 2026. The model indicates that NEOM has a 48% probability of winning, while Al-Hazm stands at 23%, and a draw is assessed at 29%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring with a 12% probability. Expected goals suggest Al-Hazm will generate 0.95, compared to NEOM's 1.48.
Recent form shows Al-Hazm struggling with a record of L-W-D-D-L-L, while NEOM has been more successful with W-W-W-L-L-W. In their last two encounters, Al-Hazm has not secured a win, recording 1 draw and 1 loss against NEOM. The overall confidence grade for this match is C, based solely on model probabilities.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al-Hazm and NEOM expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.44
Al-Hazm and NEOM attack and defence ratings
Al-Hazm
NEOM
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al-Hazm vs NEOM markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | NEOM | 52.1% | 1.92 | -4.8% | 1.79 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Hazm | 22.7% |
| Draw | 25.2% | |
| NEOM | 52.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.7% |
| No | 51.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 47.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | NEOM win | 25.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.4% | |
| Loss | 51.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.6% |
| 0-1 | 11.8% | |
| 0-0 | 10.0% |
Al-Hazm vs NEOM stats
Al-Hazm and NEOM recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al-Hazm and NEOM season so far
Al-Hazm record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
NEOM record
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
Al-Hazm vs NEOM head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-28 | NEOM | Al-Hazm | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 1-1 |
| 2026-01-04 | Al-Hazm | NEOM | Saudi Arabia Pro League | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-23 | Al-Hazm | NEOM | King's Cup | 2-1 |
| 2025-02-24 | Al-Hazm | NEOM | Division 1 | 0-2 |
| 2024-10-05 | NEOM | Al-Hazm | Division 1 | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Al-Hazm vs NEOM odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 22.7%, draw 24.1%, away 53.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.16 | 3.95 | 1.74 |
| Bet365 | 4.00 | 3.50 | 1.73 |
| BetVictor | 4.20 | 3.60 | 1.73 |
| Betano | 4.45 | 4.00 | 1.75 |
| Betfair | 4.20 | 3.90 | 1.75 |
| Dafabet | 4.20 | 3.90 | 1.79 |
| Marathonbet | 3.98 | 3.78 | 1.66 |
| Pinnacle | 3.90 | 4.01 | 1.77 |
| SBO | 3.76 | 3.32 | 1.66 |
| William Hill | 3.80 | 3.60 | 1.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .