Saudi Arabia Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 8

Al-Hazm vs NEOM

1 – 1 Full time

17′Abdulaziz Al-Dwehe
41′Aboubacar·Diakite
42′Amadou KonéKhalifah Al-Dawsari
45′Haroune CamaraSaïd Benrahma
45′Muhanad Al SaadKhalil Al-Absi
55′Saïd Benrahma
70′Aboubacar·DiakiteWaleed Al-Shanqiti
71′Abdulaziz Al-DweheMohammed Al Hamdani
75′Sofiane Bendebka
79′Abdurahman Al-Dakheel
84′Georgios MasourasAbbas Al Hassan
90′Amir SaâyoudMohamed Amine Ben Hamida
90′Abdurahman Al-DakheelMory Konate
90′Valentín VadaMohammed Al-Burayk

Al Hazm Club Stadium, Ar RassReferee: Fareeh Al Jaloud

Al-Hazm 23%
Draw 25%
NEOM 52%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

7 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
38 Possession % 62
2 Corners 5
13 Fouls 8
2 Offsides 3
2 Saves 2
242 Accurate passes 455

Al-Hazm vs NEOM overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Hazm vs NEOM

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAl-HazmDrawNEOM
Model22.8%28.6%48.6%
Market22.8%24.0%53.2%
Final22.8%25.2%52.0%
Edge-0.0%+1.2%-1.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why NEOM

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.49 vs 0.95.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Al-Hazm ↓ / NEOM → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 12% 10% 1 7% 14% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 44%
No goals 10%

Al-Hazm and NEOM expected goals

Al-Hazm 0.95
NEOM 1.49

Total expected goals: 2.44

Al-Hazm and NEOM attack and defence ratings

Al-Hazm

Attack 0.77 -23%
Defence 0.91 -9%

NEOM

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Al-Hazm vs NEOM: result vs prediction

Al-Hazm 1 – 1 NEOM

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Saudi Arabia Pro League

Before and after this match

Al-Hazm vs NEOM markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 NEOM 52.0% 1.92 -1.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.0% 1.79 — —
Both teams to score No 51.3% 1.95 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 77.2% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.4% 1.95 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Al-Hazm22.8%
Draw25.2%
NEOM52.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.544.0%
Under 2.556.0%
Both teams to scoreYes48.7%
No51.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)48.0%
12 (either side)74.8%
X2 (draw or away)77.2%
Handicap -1NEOM win25.2%
Push (exactly one goal)23.4%
Loss51.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.6%
0-111.8%
0-010.0%

Al-Hazm vs NEOM stats

Al-Hazm and NEOM recent form

newest first
Al-Hazm LWDDLL
NEOM WWWLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Al-Hazm and NEOM going into this match

league record before kick-off

Al-Hazm record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.

NEOM record

  • They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.

Al-Hazm vs NEOM head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1Al-Hazm wins 1Draws 3NEOM wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-28NEOMAl-HazmSaudi Arabia Pro League1-1
2026-01-04Al-HazmNEOMSaudi Arabia Pro League1-2
2025-09-23Al-HazmNEOMKing's Cup2-1
2025-02-24Al-HazmNEOMDivision 10-2
2024-10-05NEOMAl-HazmDivision 12-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Al-Hazm vs NEOM odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 22.8%, draw 24.0%, away 53.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.16 3.95 1.74
Bet365 3.90 3.60 1.73
BetVictor 4.10 3.70 1.73
Betano 4.30 4.05 1.75
Betfair 4.20 3.90 1.75
Dafabet 4.20 3.90 1.79
Marathonbet 3.98 3.78 1.66
Pinnacle 3.95 4.06 1.79
SBO 3.76 3.32 1.66
William Hill 3.80 3.60 1.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.04 ▼ -0.58
X 3.84 ▼ -0.28
2 1.73 ▲ +0.12

13 snapshots recorded, from .