Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 21
Chaco For Ever
vs
San Miguel
3 – 0 Full time
Chaco For Ever
50%
Draw
33%
San Miguel
17%
Chaco For Ever vs San Miguel overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Chaco For Ever vs San Miguel
| Probability | Chaco For Ever | Draw | San Miguel |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.9% | 33.1% | 17.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 49.9% | 33.1% | 17.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Chaco For Ever
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.20 vs 0.59.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
82%
2+ goals
55%
3+ goals
27%
No goals
18%
Chaco For Ever and San Miguel expected goals
Chaco For Ever
1.20
San Miguel
0.59
Total expected goals: 1.80
Chaco For Ever and San Miguel attack and defence ratings
Chaco For Ever
Attack
1.04 +4%
Defence
0.94 -6%
San Miguel
Attack
0.89 -11%
Defence
1.01 +1%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Chaco For Ever vs San Miguel: result vs prediction
Chaco For Ever 3 – 0 San Miguel
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Before and after this match
Chaco For Ever vs San Miguel markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chaco For Ever | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.0% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chaco For Ever | 49.9% |
| Draw | 33.1% | |
| San Miguel | 17.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 26.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 73.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32.4% |
| No | 67.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Chaco For Ever win | 23.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.8% | |
| Loss | 50.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 18.8% |
| 0-0 | 17.8% | |
| 1-1 | 13.0% |
Chaco For Ever vs San Miguel stats
Chaco For Ever and San Miguel recent form
| Chaco For Ever |
WLLWWW |
| San Miguel |
LWLLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Chaco For Ever and San Miguel going into this match
Chaco For Ever record
- They have won 7 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
San Miguel record
- They have won 6 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Chaco For Ever vs San Miguel head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
0Chaco For Ever wins
0Draws
1San Miguel wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | San Miguel | Chaco For Ever | Primera Nacional | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.