Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 27
Deportivo Moron
vs
San Miguel
2 – 1 Full time
| 8′ | B. Nasta | ||
| 46′ | I. M. VaqueroJ. Livera | ||
| 46′ | J. OlivaresG. Berterame | ||
| 51′ | M. Burruchaga | ||
| 56′ | D. JuarezT. Diaz | ||
| 58′ | D. Renteria | ||
| 62′ | L. Delgado | ||
| 66′ | L. Desabato | ||
| 68′ | M. LevatoJ. Zappacosta | ||
| 72′ | A. Cruz | ||
| 73′ | M. BittoloG. Gonzalez | ||
| 77′ | J. Zappacosta | ||
| 77′ | J. Zappacosta | ||
| 80′ | L. DesabatoM. Serra | ||
| 81′ | M. Oses | ||
| 81′ | J. FerreroM. Oses | ||
| 84′ | I. Ramirez | ||
| 84′ | L. DelgadoG. Fernandez | ||
| 86′ | F. FagundezF. Flores |
Deportivo Moron
74%
Draw
19%
San Miguel
7%
Deportivo Moron vs San Miguel overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Moron vs San Miguel
| Probability | Deportivo Moron | Draw | San Miguel |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 73.9% | 18.7% | 7.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 73.9% | 18.7% | 7.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Deportivo Moron
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.18 vs 0.56.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
77%
3+ goals
52%
No goals
7%
Deportivo Moron and San Miguel expected goals
Deportivo Moron
2.18
San Miguel
0.56
Total expected goals: 2.75
Deportivo Moron and San Miguel attack and defence ratings
Deportivo Moron
Attack
1.56 +56%
Defence
0.99 -1%
San Miguel
Attack
0.81 -19%
Defence
1.22 +22%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Deportivo Moron vs San Miguel: result vs prediction
Deportivo Moron 2 – 1 San Miguel
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
- Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Chacarita Juniors
- Colegiales v Deportivo Maipu — match page
- Atletico DE Rafaela vs Tristan Suarez
- Ciudad de Bolívar v Defensores De Belgrano — match page
- Midland vs Nueva Chicago — team news & stats
- Atletico Mitre vs Central Norte — team news & stats
- Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn
- Patronato v Almagro — match page
Before and after this match
Deportivo Moron vs San Miguel markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Moron | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 92.6% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Moron win | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Moron | 73.9% |
| Draw | 18.7% | |
| San Miguel | 7.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.0% |
| No | 61.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 92.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 26.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Moron win | 50.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.8% | |
| Loss | 26.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 15.3% |
| 1-0 | 13.2% | |
| 3-0 | 11.1% |
Deportivo Moron vs San Miguel stats
Deportivo Moron and San Miguel recent form
| Deportivo Moron |
DDWWLW |
| San Miguel |
LLWLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Deportivo Moron and San Miguel going into this match
Deportivo Moron record
- They have won 14 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
San Miguel record
- They have won 6 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Deportivo Moron vs San Miguel head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
0Deportivo Moron wins
0Draws
1San Miguel wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | San Miguel | Deportivo Moron | Primera Nacional | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.