Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 28
Colon Santa Fe
vs
Deportivo Moron
1 – 2 Full time
| 28′ | M. Burruchaga | ||
| 33′ | E. Lazza | ||
| 33′ | P. Barrios | ||
| 38′ | I. Antonio | ||
| 41′ | M. Levato | ||
| 45′ | G. Berterame | ||
| 46′ | I. AntonioA. Toledo | ||
| 46′ | J. MarcioniL. Garate | ||
| 52′ | A. Bonansea | ||
| 55′ | B. Salvareschi | ||
| 60′ | G. BerterameE. Contreras | ||
| 73′ | F. FagundezJ. Esquivel | ||
| 73′ | M. BittoloG. Gonzalez | ||
| 77′ | P. BarriosD. Sarmiento | ||
| 77′ | F. CastetC. Ibarra | ||
| 86′ | F. GarciaJ. Buosi | ||
| 86′ | E. IniguezF. Flores | ||
| 86′ | M. BurruchagaM. Gonzalez | ||
| 90′ | F. Lertora |
Colon Santa Fe
50%
Draw
30%
Deportivo Moron
20%
Colon Santa Fe vs Deportivo Moron overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Colon Santa Fe vs Deportivo Moron
| Probability | Colon Santa Fe | Draw | Deportivo Moron |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.5% | 28.5% | 23.1% |
| Market | 49.9% | 30.8% | 19.3% |
| Final | 49.5% | 30.2% | 20.3% |
| Edge | -1.4% | -2.4% | +3.8% |
Why Colon Santa Fe
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 0.97.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
90%
2+ goals
72%
3+ goals
45%
No goals
10%
Colon Santa Fe and Deportivo Moron expected goals
Colon Santa Fe
1.51
Deportivo Moron
0.97
Total expected goals: 2.47
Colon Santa Fe and Deportivo Moron attack and defence ratings
Colon Santa Fe
Attack
1.29 +29%
Defence
0.84 -16%
Deportivo Moron
Attack
1.64 +64%
Defence
1.02 +2%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Colon Santa Fe vs Deportivo Moron: result vs prediction
Colon Santa Fe 1 – 2 Deportivo Moron
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
- Defensores De Belgrano vs Racing Cordoba
- Ferro Carril Oeste vs Atletico Mitre
- San Telmo vs Los Andes — team news & stats
- Tristan Suarez vs San Martin Tucuman
- Chacarita Juniors v Atlanta — match page
- Acassuso v All Boys — match page
- Agropecuario vs Atletico DE Rafaela — team news & stats
- San Miguel vs Godoy Cruz
Before and after this match
Colon Santa Fe vs Deportivo Moron markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colon Santa Fe | 49.5% | 2.02 | -1.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.1% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.7% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colon Santa Fe | 49.5% |
| Draw | 30.2% | |
| Deportivo Moron | 20.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.5% |
| No | 50.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Colon Santa Fe win | 25.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 51.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 1-0 | 11.5% | |
| 0-0 | 9.7% |
Colon Santa Fe vs Deportivo Moron stats
Colon Santa Fe and Deportivo Moron recent form
| Colon Santa Fe |
LWWWDL |
| Deportivo Moron |
WDDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Colon Santa Fe and Deportivo Moron going into this match
Colon Santa Fe record
- They have won 12 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Deportivo Moron record
- They have won 14 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
Colon Santa Fe vs Deportivo Moron head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
2Colon Santa Fe wins
2Draws
2Deportivo Moron wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Deportivo Moron | Colon Santa Fe | Primera Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2025-09-21 | Colon Santa Fe | Deportivo Moron | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2025-06-07 | Deportivo Moron | Colon Santa Fe | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2024-09-02 | Colon Santa Fe | Deportivo Moron | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2024-04-14 | Deportivo Moron | Colon Santa Fe | Primera Nacional | 0-2 |
| 2018-07-21 | Colon Santa Fe | Deportivo Moron | Copa Argentina | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Colon Santa Fe vs Deportivo Moron odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.3%, draw 30.9%, away 19.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.82 | 2.95 | 4.75 |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 3.00 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.85 | 3.10 | 4.80 |
| Betano | 1.95 | 2.95 | 4.40 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.00 | 4.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.89 | 3.05 | 4.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.80 | 2.95 | 4.65 |
| Pinnacle | 1.86 | 3.17 | 4.96 |
| SBO | 1.86 | 2.70 | 3.82 |
| Unibet | 1.94 | 2.95 | 3.95 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 2.90 | 4.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.84 ▼ -0.11
X
2.98 ▲ +0.08
2
4.75 ▲ +0.45
10 snapshots recorded, from .