Primera Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 28

San Miguel vs Godoy Cruz

1 – 2 Full time

27′A. Cruz
28′D. Sappa
29′M. Pino
39′V. Poggi
46′L. DesabatoG. Fernandez
46′D. AdinD. Renteria
60′S. MartinezA. Rodriguez
64′M. Pino
69′K. CeceriD. Juarez
69′M. OsesT. Jerez
72′V. PoggiF. Milo
76′B. Nasta
78′D. Renteria
86′F. Milo
87′B. SchamineR. Fernandez
89′A. CruzE. De la Cruz
90′J. Strumia

Estadio Malvinas Argentinas, Buenos Aires

San Miguel 28%
Draw 31%
Godoy Cruz 42%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

San Miguel vs Godoy Cruz overview

Garuda Lions analysis: San Miguel vs Godoy Cruz

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySan MiguelDrawGodoy Cruz
Model27.7%30.7%41.6%
Market———
Final27.7%30.7%41.6%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Godoy Cruz

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

San Miguel ↓ / Godoy Cruz → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 12% 8% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 68%
3+ goals 40%
No goals 11%

San Miguel and Godoy Cruz expected goals

San Miguel 1.01
Godoy Cruz 1.29

Total expected goals: 2.29

San Miguel and Godoy Cruz attack and defence ratings

San Miguel

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 1.31 +31%

Godoy Cruz

Attack 1.40 +40%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

San Miguel vs Godoy Cruz: result vs prediction

San Miguel 1 – 2 Godoy Cruz

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 28 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

San Miguel vs Godoy Cruz markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Godoy Cruz 41.6% 2.40 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 59.8% 1.67 — —
Both teams to score No 52.8% 1.90 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 72.3% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.4% 1.71 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2San Miguel27.7%
Draw30.7%
Godoy Cruz41.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.540.2%
Under 2.559.8%
Both teams to scoreYes47.2%
No52.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)58.4%
12 (either side)69.3%
X2 (draw or away)72.3%
Handicap -1Godoy Cruz win19.5%
Push (exactly one goal)22.1%
Loss58.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.4%
0-111.7%
0-011.4%

San Miguel vs Godoy Cruz stats

San Miguel and Godoy Cruz recent form

newest first
San Miguel LLLWLL
Godoy Cruz WLWLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

San Miguel and Godoy Cruz going into this match

league record before kick-off

San Miguel record

  • They have won 6 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 27 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

Godoy Cruz record

  • They have won 12 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

San Miguel vs Godoy Cruz head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0San Miguel wins 1Draws 0Godoy Cruz wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-18Godoy CruzSan MiguelPrimera Nacional0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

San Miguel vs Godoy Cruz odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.