Primera Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 28

Chacarita Juniors vs Atlanta

0 – 1 Full time

45′C. Guanca
45′R. Moreira
52′D. Arguello
58′T. PerezL. Perdomo
66′T. MiglioreS. Acosta
66′M. SanabriaF. Cristaldo
71′L. GaleanoP. Ostachuk
71′A. DramisinoA. Morales
76′L. Perdomo
82′S. VittorE. Gerez
86′I. RodriguezR. Sosa
86′D. ArguelloG. Miranda

Estadio de Chacarita Juniors, Buenos Aires

Chacarita Juniors 40%
Draw 33%
Atlanta 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chacarita Juniors vs Atlanta overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Chacarita Juniors vs Atlanta

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityChacarita JuniorsDrawAtlanta
Model38.0%34.9%27.1%
Market40.6%32.8%26.5%
Final40.0%33.4%26.7%
Edge-2.6%+2.0%+0.6%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Chacarita Juni ↓ / Atlanta → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 17% 12% 1 15% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 83%
2+ goals 56%
3+ goals 28%
No goals 17%

Chacarita Juniors and Atlanta expected goals

Chacarita Juniors 1.02
Atlanta 0.82

Total expected goals: 1.84

Chacarita Juniors and Atlanta attack and defence ratings

Chacarita Juniors

Attack 0.64 -36%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Atlanta

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 1.39 +39%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Chacarita Juniors vs Atlanta: result vs prediction

Chacarita Juniors 0 – 1 Atlanta

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 28 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

Chacarita Juniors vs Atlanta markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Chacarita Juniors 40.0% 2.50 -2.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 72.0% 1.39 — —
Both teams to score No 63.0% 1.59 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.3% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.9% 1.61 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Chacarita Juniors40.0%
Draw33.4%
Atlanta26.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.528.0%
Under 2.572.0%
Both teams to scoreYes37.0%
No63.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.3%
12 (either side)66.6%
X2 (draw or away)60.0%
Handicap -1Chacarita Juniors win15.4%
Push (exactly one goal)22.7%
Loss61.9%
Correct score (top 3)0-017.2%
1-014.9%
1-114.6%

Chacarita Juniors vs Atlanta stats

Chacarita Juniors and Atlanta recent form

newest first
Chacarita Juniors LLDLLW
Atlanta LLWLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Chacarita Juniors and Atlanta going into this match

league record before kick-off

Chacarita Juniors record

  • They have won 7 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 14 of 27 matches.

Atlanta record

  • They have won 13 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

Chacarita Juniors vs Atlanta head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Chacarita Juniors wins 2Draws 3Atlanta wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-21AtlantaChacarita JuniorsPrimera Nacional1-0
2023-08-19AtlantaChacarita JuniorsPrimera Nacional0-1
2023-04-08Chacarita JuniorsAtlantaPrimera Nacional1-1
2022-08-09AtlantaChacarita JuniorsPrimera Nacional1-1
2021-07-26AtlantaChacarita JuniorsPrimera Nacional0-3
2021-03-17Chacarita JuniorsAtlantaPrimera Nacional0-1
2014-10-02Chacarita JuniorsAtlantaPrimera B Metropolitana1-0
2014-08-13AtlantaChacarita JuniorsPrimera B Metropolitana1-2
2014-02-22Chacarita JuniorsAtlantaPrimera B Metropolitana1-2
2013-08-24AtlantaChacarita JuniorsPrimera B Metropolitana0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Chacarita Juniors vs Atlanta odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.6%, draw 32.6%, away 26.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.25 2.77 3.40
888Sport 2.25 2.75 3.50
Bet365 2.25 2.80 3.40
BetVictor 2.30 2.80 3.50
Betano 2.32 2.80 3.40
Betfair 2.25 2.88 3.30
Dafabet 2.42 2.85 3.30
Marathonbet 2.23 2.77 3.32
Pinnacle 2.35 2.92 3.56
SBO 2.16 2.64 3.04
Unibet 2.48 2.80 3.20
William Hill 2.25 2.75 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.25 ▼ -0.05
X 2.79 ▲ +0.04
2 3.45 ▲ +0.12

12 snapshots recorded, from .