Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 28
Agropecuario
vs
Atletico DE Rafaela
2 – 0 Full time
| 12′ | J. Vega | ||
| 14′ | J. Capurro | ||
| 16′ | J. Valdez | ||
| 43′ | J. Capurro | ||
| 43′ | J. Capurro | ||
| 49′ | T. Lecanda | ||
| 53′ | A. Obando | ||
| 54′ | J. ValdezB. Aranda | ||
| 54′ | A. GagliardiD. Ruiz Diaz | ||
| 54′ | L. FloresN. Cainelli | ||
| 54′ | J. BonifacioL. Albertengo | ||
| 69′ | R. MosqueiraF. Sanchez | ||
| 69′ | T. LecandaF. Perez | ||
| 79′ | A. Solveyra | ||
| 83′ | E. WuattierM. Quiroga | ||
| 84′ | R. CastroL. Barrera | ||
| 89′ | J. CavallaroM. Fernandez | ||
| 89′ | A. ObandoM. Pardo | ||
| 90′ | A. Perez |
Agropecuario
46%
Draw
33%
Atletico DE Rafaela
20%
Agropecuario vs Atletico DE Rafaela overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Agropecuario vs Atletico DE Rafaela
| Probability | Agropecuario | Draw | Atletico DE Rafaela |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.1% | 38.4% | 21.5% |
| Market | 48.5% | 31.5% | 20.0% |
| Final | 46.4% | 33.2% | 20.4% |
| Edge | -8.4% | +6.9% | +1.6% |
Why Agropecuario
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 0.91 vs 0.59.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
77%
2+ goals
45%
3+ goals
19%
No goals
23%
Agropecuario and Atletico DE Rafaela expected goals
Agropecuario
0.91
Atletico DE Rafaela
0.59
Total expected goals: 1.50
Agropecuario and Atletico DE Rafaela attack and defence ratings
Agropecuario
Attack
0.97 -3%
Defence
1.10 +10%
Atletico DE Rafaela
Attack
0.76 -24%
Defence
0.82 -18%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Agropecuario vs Atletico DE Rafaela: result vs prediction
Agropecuario 2 – 0 Atletico DE Rafaela
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
- Defensores De Belgrano vs Racing Cordoba
- Ferro Carril Oeste vs Atletico Mitre
- San Telmo vs Los Andes — team news & stats
- Tristan Suarez vs San Martin Tucuman
- Chacarita Juniors v Atlanta — match page
- Acassuso v All Boys — match page
- Colon Santa Fe vs Deportivo Moron — team news & stats
- San Miguel vs Godoy Cruz
Before and after this match
Agropecuario vs Atletico DE Rafaela markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Agropecuario | 46.4% | 2.16 | -8.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Agropecuario | 46.4% |
| Draw | 33.2% | |
| Atletico DE Rafaela | 20.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 19.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 80.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 27.9% |
| No | 72.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Agropecuario win | 15.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.0% | |
| Loss | 59.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 23.5% |
| 1-0 | 19.1% | |
| 1-1 | 13.2% |
Agropecuario vs Atletico DE Rafaela stats
Agropecuario and Atletico DE Rafaela recent form
| Agropecuario |
DLWWLW |
| Atletico DE Rafaela |
WDDWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Agropecuario and Atletico DE Rafaela going into this match
Agropecuario record
- They have won 7 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
Atletico DE Rafaela record
- They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.1 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 15 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Agropecuario vs Atletico DE Rafaela head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
1Agropecuario wins
1Draws
2Atletico DE Rafaela wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-20 | Atletico DE Rafaela | Agropecuario | Primera Nacional | 4-1 |
| 2022-06-18 | Atletico DE Rafaela | Agropecuario | Primera Nacional | 2-2 |
| 2019-02-10 | Agropecuario | Atletico DE Rafaela | Primera Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2017-12-03 | Agropecuario | Atletico DE Rafaela | Primera Nacional | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Agropecuario vs Atletico DE Rafaela odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.0%, draw 31.6%, away 21.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.87 | 2.79 | 4.86 |
| 888Sport | 2.00 | 2.75 | 4.20 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.90 | 3.10 | 4.40 |
| Betano | 2.02 | 3.00 | 3.95 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.00 | 3.90 |
| Dafabet | 2.05 | 2.90 | 4.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.85 | 2.79 | 4.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.91 | 2.90 | 5.40 |
| SBO | 1.96 | 2.67 | 3.52 |
| Unibet | 2.04 | 3.05 | 3.90 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 2.90 | 4.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.89 ▲ +0.05
X
2.90 ▲ +0.02
2
4.58 ▼ -0.42
12 snapshots recorded, from .