Primera Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 29

San Martin Tucuman vs Agropecuario

3 – 0 Full time

5′M. Veron
46′E. AguirreB. Aranda
51′B. Aranda
56′N. Gallardo
64′G. Carabajal
65′G. Carabajal
65′J. VegaJ. Valdez
65′R. CastroD. Ruiz Diaz
67′J. Juarez
70′B. Cabrera
72′A. Cisnero
76′A. CisneroM. Garcia
76′G. CarabajalD. Diellos
76′M. VeronA. Veliez
80′A. AguirreL. Barrera
80′M. RamosF. Sanchez
89′A. GranerosN. Castro
89′J. JuarezV. Salazar

Estadio La Ciudadela, Tucuman

San Martin Tucuman 47%
Draw 31%
Agropecuario 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

San Martin Tucuman vs Agropecuario overview

Garuda Lions analysis: San Martin Tucuman vs Agropecuario

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySan Martin TucumanDrawAgropecuario
Model38.9%32.2%28.9%
Market49.4%30.5%20.1%
Final46.8%30.9%22.3%
Edge-10.5%+1.7%+8.8%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

San Martin Tuc ↓ / Agropecuario → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 10% 1 12% 15% 2 8% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 64%
3+ goals 36%
No goals 13%

San Martin Tucuman and Agropecuario expected goals

San Martin Tucuman 1.16
Agropecuario 0.97

Total expected goals: 2.13

San Martin Tucuman and Agropecuario attack and defence ratings

San Martin Tucuman

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 1.25 +25%

Agropecuario

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

San Martin Tucuman vs Agropecuario: result vs prediction

San Martin Tucuman 3 – 0 Agropecuario

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 29 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

San Martin Tucuman vs Agropecuario markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 San Martin Tucuman 46.8% 2.14 -10.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 64.1% 1.56 — —
Both teams to score No 56.0% 1.78 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 77.7% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.1% 1.64 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2San Martin Tucuman46.8%
Draw30.9%
Agropecuario22.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.535.9%
Under 2.564.1%
Both teams to scoreYes44.0%
No56.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)77.7%
12 (either side)69.1%
X2 (draw or away)53.2%
Handicap -1San Martin Tucuman win17.1%
Push (exactly one goal)21.9%
Loss61.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.7%
0-013.2%
1-012.5%

San Martin Tucuman vs Agropecuario stats

San Martin Tucuman and Agropecuario recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

San Martin Tucuman and Agropecuario going into this match

league record before kick-off

San Martin Tucuman record

  • They have won 8 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 28 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Agropecuario record

  • They have won 8 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 12 of 28 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).

San Martin Tucuman vs Agropecuario head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5San Martin Tucuman wins 4Draws 1Agropecuario wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-26AgropecuarioSan Martin TucumanPrimera Nacional2-0
2024-09-17San Martin TucumanAgropecuarioPrimera Nacional1-0
2024-04-27AgropecuarioSan Martin TucumanPrimera Nacional0-1
2023-07-30San Martin TucumanAgropecuarioPrimera Nacional1-1
2023-03-25AgropecuarioSan Martin TucumanPrimera Nacional0-0
2022-05-14AgropecuarioSan Martin TucumanPrimera Nacional1-1
2021-11-01San Martin TucumanAgropecuarioPrimera Nacional1-0
2021-07-05AgropecuarioSan Martin TucumanPrimera Nacional0-1
2019-03-07San Martin TucumanAgropecuarioCopa Argentina2-2
2018-05-20San Martin TucumanAgropecuarioPrimera Nacional3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

San Martin Tucuman vs Agropecuario odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 49.5%, draw 30.5%, away 20.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.85 2.99 4.45
888Sport 1.85 2.90 4.80
Bet365 1.85 3.00 5.00
BetVictor 1.85 3.13 4.60
Betano 1.85 3.10 4.55
Betfair 1.80 3.00 4.60
Dafabet 1.88 3.05 4.60
Marathonbet 1.83 2.99 4.35
Pinnacle 1.89 3.15 4.84
SBO 1.84 2.73 3.89
Unibet 1.95 3.15 4.10
William Hill 1.85 3.00 4.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.85 ▲ +0.01
X 3.00 —
2 4.55 ▼ -0.05

12 snapshots recorded, from .