Primera Nacional · 2026-09-12T01:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 29

Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Tristan Suarez

0 – 0 Full time

59′			N. RinaldiM. Birge
59′			T. BanegaW. Montoya
70′			A. GalloJ. Beron
70′			D. BeckerN. Sanchez
81′			K. ColliA. Berrondo
83′			F. SivettiJ. Capano
83′			J. Aguirre
85′			J. AguirreN. Contin
90′			M. GuillenM. Olguin

Estadio El Gigante del Norte, Salta

Gimnasia Y Tiro

37%

Draw

36%

Tristan Suarez

27%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Tristan Suarez overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Tristan Suarez

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Gimnasia Y Tiro	Draw	Tristan Suarez
Model	36.5%	35.2%	28.2%
Market	37.8%	35.9%	26.3%
Final	37.5%	35.8%	26.8%
Edge	-1.3%	-0.7%	+1.9%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

82%

2+ goals

55%

3+ goals

27%

No goals

18%

Gimnasia Y Tiro and Tristan Suarez expected goals

Gimnasia Y Tiro

0.98

Tristan Suarez

0.83

Total expected goals: 1.82

Gimnasia Y Tiro and Tristan Suarez attack and defence ratings

Gimnasia Y Tiro

Attack

1.34 +34%

Defence

0.82 -18%

Tristan Suarez

Attack

1.43 +43%

Defence

0.64 -36%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Tristan Suarez: result vs prediction

Gimnasia Y Tiro 0 – 0 Tristan Suarez

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 29 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Atlanta vs Club Atlético Güemes — team news & stats · 2026-09-12
Colegiales vs Nueva Chicago · 2026-09-12
All Boys v San Telmo — match page · 2026-09-12
Almagro vs Deportivo Maipu — team news & stats · 2026-09-12
Ciudad de Bolívar v Central Norte — match page · 2026-09-12
Quilmes v San Martin S.J. — match page · 2026-09-12
Los Andes vs San Miguel · 2026-09-13
Patronato vs Temperley · 2026-09-13

Before and after this match

Gimnasia Y Tiro, previous: Club Atlético Güemes vs Gimnasia Y Tiro: odds and pick
Gimnasia Y Tiro, next: Agropecuario – Gimnasia Y Tiro, 2026-09-20
Tristan Suarez, previous: Tristan Suarez – San Martin Tucuman, 2026-09-05
Tristan Suarez, next: San Martin S.J. vs Tristan Suarez prediction

Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Tristan Suarez markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Gimnasia Y Tiro	37.5%	2.67	-1.3%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	72.7%	1.38	—	—
Both teams to score	No	63.3%	1.58	—	—
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	73.2%	1.37	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	63.5%	1.58	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Gimnasia Y Tiro	37.5%
	Draw	35.8%
	Tristan Suarez	26.8%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	27.3%
	Under 2.5	72.7%
Both teams to score	Yes	36.7%
	No	63.3%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	73.2%
	12 (either side)	64.2%
	X2 (draw or away)	62.5%
Handicap -1	Gimnasia Y Tiro win	14.3%
	Push (exactly one goal)	22.2%
	Loss	63.5%
Correct score (top 3)	0-0	17.6%
	1-0	14.7%
	1-1	14.6%

Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Tristan Suarez stats

Gimnasia Y Tiro and Tristan Suarez recent form

newest first

Gimnasia Y Tiro	WWLDWW
Tristan Suarez	WLWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Gimnasia Y Tiro and Tristan Suarez going into this match

league record before kick-off

Gimnasia Y Tiro record

They have won 12 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
They have kept 10 clean sheets in 28 matches.
They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Tristan Suarez record

They have won 14 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
They have kept 17 clean sheets in 27 matches.
They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).

Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Tristan Suarez head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

0Gimnasia Y Tiro wins 1Draws 2Tristan Suarez wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-04-26	Tristan Suarez	Gimnasia Y Tiro	Primera Nacional	2-1
2025-08-02	Tristan Suarez	Gimnasia Y Tiro	Primera Nacional	1-0
2025-03-30	Gimnasia Y Tiro	Tristan Suarez	Primera Nacional	1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Tristan Suarez odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.0%, draw 34.1%, away 25.9%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.40	2.48	3.59
888Sport	2.25	2.63	3.60
Bet365	2.40	2.70	3.40
BetVictor	2.40	2.75	3.40
Betano	2.25	2.82	3.60
Betfair	2.20	2.80	3.40
Dafabet	2.26	2.80	3.65
Marathonbet	2.38	2.48	3.50
Pinnacle	2.51	2.55	3.77
Superbet	2.27	2.80	3.65
Unibet	2.07	2.88	3.65
William Hill	2.50	2.50	3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.40 ▲ +0.10

X 2.52 ▼ -0.23

2 3.45 ▼ -0.05

10 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-07T08:10:02Z.