Primera Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 21

San Martin S.J. vs Tristan Suarez

0 – 0 Full time

20′S. JaurenaG. Acosta
44′B. Aguilar
46′J. BeronS. Ramirez
46′M. AlvarezA. Berrondo
59′N. PelaitayL. Monje
59′F. CoronelN. Funez
69′N. Fernandez
74′F. NadalinN. Paz
74′F. MurilloN. Iachetti
77′N. FernandezA. Molina
77′D. BeckerA. Gallo
90′A. BerrondoN. Sanchez
San Martin S.J. 44%
Draw 33%
Tristan Suarez 23%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

San Martin S.J. vs Tristan Suarez overview

Garuda Lions analysis: San Martin S.J. vs Tristan Suarez

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySan Martin S.J.DrawTristan Suarez
Model32.0%36.0%32.0%
Market48.0%31.7%20.3%
Final44.0%32.8%23.2%
Edge-16.1%+4.3%+11.7%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

San Martin S.J ↓ / Tristan Suarez → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 19% 14% 1 14% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 81%
2+ goals 54%
3+ goals 26%
No goals 19%

San Martin S.J. and Tristan Suarez expected goals

San Martin S.J. 0.88
Tristan Suarez 0.88

Total expected goals: 1.76

San Martin S.J. and Tristan Suarez attack and defence ratings

San Martin S.J.

Attack 1.27 +27%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Tristan Suarez

Attack 1.30 +30%
Defence 0.60 -40%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

San Martin S.J. vs Tristan Suarez: result vs prediction

San Martin S.J. 0 – 0 Tristan Suarez

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Before and after this match

San Martin S.J. vs Tristan Suarez markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 San Martin S.J. 44.0% 2.27 -16.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 74.1% 1.35 — —
Both teams to score No 64.4% 1.55 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 76.8% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 68.0% 1.47 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2San Martin S.J.44.0%
Draw32.8%
Tristan Suarez23.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.525.9%
Under 2.574.1%
Both teams to scoreYes35.6%
No64.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.8%
12 (either side)67.2%
X2 (draw or away)56.0%
Handicap -1San Martin S.J. win11.5%
Push (exactly one goal)20.5%
Loss68.0%
Correct score (top 3)0-018.5%
1-114.7%
0-113.8%

San Martin S.J. vs Tristan Suarez stats

San Martin S.J. and Tristan Suarez recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

San Martin S.J. and Tristan Suarez going into this match

league record before kick-off

San Martin S.J. record

  • They have won 11 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Tristan Suarez record

  • They have won 14 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 18 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).

San Martin S.J. vs Tristan Suarez head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

3San Martin S.J. wins 0Draws 3Tristan Suarez wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-01Tristan SuarezSan Martin S.J.Primera Nacional2-1
2024-10-12San Martin S.J.Tristan SuarezPrimera Nacional3-2
2024-05-25Tristan SuarezSan Martin S.J.Primera Nacional0-1
2022-07-22Tristan SuarezSan Martin S.J.Primera Nacional3-0
2021-10-17San Martin S.J.Tristan SuarezPrimera Nacional4-0
2021-06-22Tristan SuarezSan Martin S.J.Primera Nacional4-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

San Martin S.J. vs Tristan Suarez odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 48.0%, draw 31.7%, away 20.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.88 2.83 4.54
Bet365 1.90 2.88 5.00
BetVictor 1.93 3.00 4.50
Betano 1.88 3.05 4.50
Betfair 1.90 3.00 4.33
Marathonbet 1.86 2.83 4.40
Pinnacle 1.95 2.97 4.92
SBO 1.88 2.66 3.82
William Hill 1.95 2.80 4.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.90 ▲ +0.05
X 2.88 ▼ -0.09
2 4.50 ▼ -0.05

6 snapshots recorded, from .