Primera Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 30

San Martin S.J. vs Colegiales

2 – 0 Full time

14′F. Malagueno
26′M. Ramirez
38′D. Alvarez
45′E. Aguilera
45′F. Rivero
46′F. RiveroE. Aguirre
46′M. RamirezE. Trinidad
46′F. ZicarelliR. E. Monserrat
46′D. AlvarezN. Paz
53′N. Funez
58′D. A. Mercado Carrizo
67′G. RossiL. Monje
67′L. FerreyraN. Iachetti
69′S. Gonzalez
73′M. AlbertengoN. Toloza
79′E. OcampoL. Gonzalez
80′F. MurilloG. Acosta
87′S. GonzalezG. Hachen
San Martin S.J. 48%
Draw 32%
Colegiales 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

San Martin S.J. vs Colegiales overview

Garuda Lions analysis: San Martin S.J. vs Colegiales

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySan Martin S.J.DrawColegiales
Model47.5%32.0%20.5%
Market47.5%31.6%20.8%
Final47.5%31.7%20.8%
Edge+0.0%+0.3%-0.3%

Confidence: Low

Why San Martin S.J.

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.26 vs 0.73.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

San Martin S.J ↓ / Colegiales → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 15% 9% 1 16% 14% 2 11% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 85%
2+ goals 61%
3+ goals 32%
No goals 15%

San Martin S.J. and Colegiales expected goals

San Martin S.J. 1.26
Colegiales 0.73

Total expected goals: 1.99

San Martin S.J. and Colegiales attack and defence ratings

San Martin S.J.

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Colegiales

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

San Martin S.J. vs Colegiales: result vs prediction

San Martin S.J. 2 – 0 Colegiales

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 30 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

San Martin S.J. vs Colegiales markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 San Martin S.J. 47.5% 2.10 +0.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 67.8% 1.48 — —
Both teams to score No 61.4% 1.63 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 79.2% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.4% 1.91 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2San Martin S.J.47.5%
Draw31.7%
Colegiales20.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.532.2%
Under 2.567.8%
Both teams to scoreYes38.6%
No61.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)79.2%
12 (either side)68.3%
X2 (draw or away)52.5%
Handicap -1San Martin S.J. win22.5%
Push (exactly one goal)25.2%
Loss52.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-015.9%
0-014.9%
1-113.9%

San Martin S.J. vs Colegiales stats

San Martin S.J. and Colegiales recent form

newest first
San Martin S.J. DLWWWW
Colegiales WLWWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

San Martin S.J. and Colegiales going into this match

league record before kick-off

San Martin S.J. record

  • They have won 11 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 29 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Colegiales record

  • They have won 11 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 29 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

San Martin S.J. vs Colegiales head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0San Martin S.J. wins 0Draws 1Colegiales wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-03ColegialesSan Martin S.J.Primera Nacional2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

San Martin S.J. vs Colegiales odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.5%, draw 31.6%, away 20.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.88 2.88 4.42
Bet365 1.90 2.90 4.75
BetVictor 1.95 3.00 4.40
Betano 1.93 2.92 4.60
Betfair 1.85 3.00 4.40
Marathonbet 1.86 2.88 4.30
Pinnacle 1.95 3.04 4.76
SBO 2.00 2.75 3.52
William Hill 1.95 2.90 4.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.93 ▲ +0.18
X 2.90 ▼ -0.05
2 4.40 ▼ -0.85

12 snapshots recorded, from .