Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 31
Patronato
vs
San Martin S.J.
3 – 0 Full time
| 3′ | R. Reynaga | ||
| 5′ | F. Nadalin | ||
| 9′ | J. Salas | ||
| 17′ | R. Reynaga | ||
| 20′ | J. Marchio | ||
| 28′ | V. L. PereyraB. Bravo | ||
| 41′ | R. Reynaga | ||
| 46′ | G. AcostaF. Coronel | ||
| 46′ | F. NadalinL. Ferreyra | ||
| 46′ | J. BarolinG. Salega | ||
| 59′ | R. ReynagaF. Soldano | ||
| 60′ | J. SalasT. Attis | ||
| 67′ | N. GenezS. Piccioni | ||
| 68′ | D. AlvarezH. Zuliani | ||
| 68′ | G. RossiB. Juncos | ||
| 71′ | S. Gonzalez | ||
| 79′ | W. Rueda | ||
| 84′ | J. MarchioE. Aguilera | ||
| 90′ | T. Attis |
Patronato
33%
Draw
34%
San Martin S.J.
33%
Patronato vs San Martin S.J. overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Patronato vs San Martin S.J.
| Probability | Patronato | Draw | San Martin S.J. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.1% | 34.8% | 36.1% |
| Market | 34.5% | 33.6% | 31.8% |
| Final | 33.2% | 33.9% | 32.9% |
| Edge | -5.4% | +1.2% | +4.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
83%
2+ goals
57%
3+ goals
29%
No goals
17%
Patronato and San Martin S.J. expected goals
Patronato
0.86
San Martin S.J.
1.00
Total expected goals: 1.86
Patronato and San Martin S.J. attack and defence ratings
Patronato
Attack
0.98 -2%
Defence
1.16 +16%
San Martin S.J.
Attack
1.22 +22%
Defence
0.77 -23%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Patronato vs San Martin S.J.: result vs prediction
Patronato 3 – 0 San Martin S.J.
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 31 fixtures
- CA Estudiantes v San Miguel — match page
- Almirante Brown vs Acassuso
- All Boys v Colon Santa Fe — match page
- Quilmes v Club Atlético Güemes — match page
- Ciudad de Bolívar vs Chaco For Ever — team news & stats
- Deportivo Madryn vs Central Norte
- Colegiales v Chacarita Juniors — match page
- Almagro vs Nueva Chicago — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Patronato vs San Martin S.J. markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 33.9% | 2.95 | +1.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Patronato | 33.2% |
| Draw | 33.9% | |
| San Martin S.J. | 32.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 28.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 71.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.8% |
| No | 62.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Patronato win | 10.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.8% | |
| Loss | 70.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 16.9% |
| 1-1 | 14.7% | |
| 0-1 | 14.1% |
Patronato vs San Martin S.J. stats
Patronato and San Martin S.J. recent form
| Patronato |
DDDLWD |
| San Martin S.J. |
WDLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Patronato and San Martin S.J. going into this match
Patronato record
- They have won 5 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.1 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 15 of 30 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
San Martin S.J. record
- They have won 12 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Patronato vs San Martin S.J. head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Patronato wins
1Draws
6San Martin S.J. wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | San Martin S.J. | Patronato | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2024-10-20 | Patronato | San Martin S.J. | Primera Nacional | 0-3 |
| 2024-06-02 | San Martin S.J. | Patronato | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2023-06-24 | San Martin S.J. | Patronato | Primera Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2023-02-17 | Patronato | San Martin S.J. | Primera Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2018-08-19 | San Martin S.J. | Patronato | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-0 |
| 2017-08-27 | San Martin S.J. | Patronato | Liga Profesional Argentina | 2-0 |
| 2016-11-22 | Patronato | San Martin S.J. | Liga Profesional Argentina | 3-0 |
| 2014-05-25 | San Martin S.J. | Patronato | Primera Nacional | 0-2 |
| 2013-11-24 | Patronato | San Martin S.J. | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Patronato vs San Martin S.J. odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.5%, draw 33.6%, away 31.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.57 | 2.67 | 2.82 |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 2.75 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 2.80 | 2.88 |
| Betano | 2.57 | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| Betfair | 2.60 | 2.75 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.57 | 2.67 | 2.82 |
| Pinnacle | 2.83 | 2.65 | 3.14 |
| SBO | 2.54 | 2.65 | 2.62 |
| William Hill | 2.75 | 2.62 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.60 ▲ +0.10
X
2.67 ▼ -0.08
2
2.82 ▼ -0.18
12 snapshots recorded, from .