Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 31
Quilmes
vs
Club Atlético Güemes
2 – 0 Full time
| 9′ | A. Lavezzi | ||
| 15′ | L. Guinazu | ||
| 46′ | A. LavezziG. Vega | ||
| 55′ | G. PuglieseR. Silisque | ||
| 55′ | I. OrtigozaA. Pinto | ||
| 55′ | L. GuinazuJ. Sanchez | ||
| 69′ | S. G. SalaS. Farrera | ||
| 75′ | U. VeraM. Fernandez | ||
| 81′ | M. VallejosA. Ortega | ||
| 85′ | A. SpetaleP. Bonacci | ||
| 85′ | A. BolivarJ. Yangali | ||
| 90′ | G. Vega | ||
| 90′ | M. Benitez |
Quilmes
65%
Draw
23%
Club Atlético Güemes
12%
Quilmes vs Club Atlético Güemes overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Quilmes vs Club Atlético Güemes
| Probability | Quilmes | Draw | Club Atlético Güemes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 68.0% | 23.1% | 8.8% |
| Market | 63.9% | 23.6% | 12.5% |
| Final | 64.9% | 23.5% | 11.6% |
| Edge | +4.2% | -0.4% | -3.7% |
Why Quilmes
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 0.51.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Quilmes below the model: +4.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
89%
2+ goals
68%
3+ goals
41%
No goals
11%
Quilmes and Club Atlético Güemes expected goals
Quilmes
1.80
Club Atlético Güemes
0.51
Total expected goals: 2.31
Quilmes and Club Atlético Güemes attack and defence ratings
Quilmes
Attack
0.92 -8%
Defence
1.16 +16%
Club Atlético Güemes
Attack
0.62 -38%
Defence
1.69 +69%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Quilmes vs Club Atlético Güemes: result vs prediction
Quilmes 2 – 0 Club Atlético Güemes
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 31 fixtures
- CA Estudiantes v San Miguel — match page
- Almirante Brown vs Acassuso
- All Boys v Colon Santa Fe — match page
- Ciudad de Bolívar vs Chaco For Ever — team news & stats
- Deportivo Madryn vs Central Norte
- Colegiales v Chacarita Juniors — match page
- Almagro vs Nueva Chicago — team news & stats
- Los Andes vs Deportivo Moron
Before and after this match
Quilmes vs Club Atlético Güemes markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Quilmes | 64.9% | 1.54 | +4.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.4% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Quilmes win | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Quilmes | 64.9% |
| Draw | 23.5% | |
| Club Atlético Güemes | 11.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 34.1% |
| No | 65.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 35.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Quilmes win | 41.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.5% | |
| Loss | 32.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 17.0% |
| 2-0 | 16.1% | |
| 0-0 | 10.9% |
Quilmes vs Club Atlético Güemes stats
Quilmes and Club Atlético Güemes recent form
| Quilmes |
LWLLLW |
| Club Atlético Güemes |
LLLDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Quilmes and Club Atlético Güemes going into this match
Quilmes record
- They have won 9 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 16 of 30 matches.
Club Atlético Güemes record
- They have won 5 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 30 matches.
Quilmes vs Club Atlético Güemes head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
1Quilmes wins
2Draws
3Club Atlético Güemes wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Club Atlético Güemes | Quilmes | Primera Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-23 | Quilmes | Club Atlético Güemes | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2025-05-18 | Club Atlético Güemes | Quilmes | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2024-09-28 | Quilmes | Club Atlético Güemes | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2024-05-12 | Club Atlético Güemes | Quilmes | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2022-07-10 | Quilmes | Club Atlético Güemes | Primera Nacional | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Quilmes vs Club Atlético Güemes odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 63.9%, draw 23.6%, away 12.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.41 | 3.84 | 7.33 |
| Bet365 | 1.44 | 3.80 | 8.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.44 | 4.00 | 7.50 |
| Betano | 1.45 | 3.90 | 7.50 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.40 | 3.84 | 6.95 |
| Pinnacle | 1.45 | 4.24 | 7.68 |
| SBO | 1.42 | 3.66 | 5.90 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 3.90 | 7.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.44 —
X
3.90 ▲ +0.20
2
7.33 ▼ -0.17
12 snapshots recorded, from .