Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 32
Club Atlético Güemes
vs
Colegiales
0 – 1 Full time
| 44′ | S. G. Sala | ||
| 46′ | L. CastilloM. Mamani | ||
| 46′ | L. GonzalezR. E. Monserrat | ||
| 59′ | J. Juarez | ||
| 63′ | G. PuglieseD. Veliz | ||
| 69′ | R. ArnayA. Gonzalez | ||
| 69′ | J. JuarezR. Silisque | ||
| 73′ | R. E. Monserrat | ||
| 75′ | F. MontielL. Juarez | ||
| 76′ | F. MelillanI. Ortigoza | ||
| 76′ | C. LeinekerJ. Sanchez | ||
| 76′ | M. AlbertengoC. Gaston | ||
| 83′ | F. Malagueno | ||
| 87′ | L. Juarez | ||
| 90′ | E. TrinidadF. Miranda | ||
| 90′ | F. Rivero |
Club Atlético Güemes
24%
Draw
30%
Colegiales
45%
Club Atlético Güemes vs Colegiales overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Club Atlético Güemes vs Colegiales
| Probability | Club Atlético Güemes | Draw | Colegiales |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16.3% | 28.2% | 55.5% |
| Market | 27.2% | 30.8% | 42.0% |
| Final | 24.5% | 30.2% | 45.4% |
| Edge | -10.9% | -2.6% | +13.5% |
Why Colegiales
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 0.71.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Colegiales below the model: +13.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
88%
2+ goals
66%
3+ goals
39%
No goals
12%
Club Atlético Güemes and Colegiales expected goals
Club Atlético Güemes
0.71
Colegiales
1.52
Total expected goals: 2.23
Club Atlético Güemes and Colegiales attack and defence ratings
Club Atlético Güemes
Attack
0.56 -44%
Defence
1.75 +75%
Colegiales
Attack
1.23 +23%
Defence
1.10 +10%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Club Atlético Güemes vs Colegiales: result vs prediction
Club Atlético Güemes 0 – 1 Colegiales
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 32 fixtures
- Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Madryn — team news & stats
- Colon Santa Fe vs CA Estudiantes — team news & stats
- Temperley vs Gimnasia Jujuy
- Deportivo Moron v All Boys — match page
- Tristan Suarez vs Quilmes — team news & stats
- Acassuso vs Ciudad de Bolívar
- San Miguel vs Atletico Mitre — team news & stats
- Agropecuario vs Midland — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Club Atlético Güemes vs Colegiales markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colegiales | 45.4% | 2.20 | +13.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.5% | 2.25 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club Atlético Güemes | 24.5% |
| Draw | 30.2% | |
| Colegiales | 45.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.9% |
| No | 59.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 54.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Colegiales win | 29.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.7% | |
| Loss | 44.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 15.2% |
| 1-1 | 12.8% | |
| 0-2 | 12.4% |
Club Atlético Güemes vs Colegiales stats
Club Atlético Güemes and Colegiales recent form
| Club Atlético Güemes |
LLLLDD |
| Colegiales |
WLWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Club Atlético Güemes and Colegiales going into this match
Club Atlético Güemes record
- They have won 5 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 31 matches.
Colegiales record
- They have won 12 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 31 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Club Atlético Güemes vs Colegiales head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
1Club Atlético Güemes wins
0Draws
2Colegiales wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Colegiales | Club Atlético Güemes | Primera Nacional | 4-1 |
| 2025-08-31 | Club Atlético Güemes | Colegiales | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-26 | Colegiales | Club Atlético Güemes | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Club Atlético Güemes vs Colegiales odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 27.2%, draw 30.8%, away 42.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.36 | 3.20 | 2.28 |
| Bet365 | 3.50 | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 3.40 | 3.00 | 2.25 |
| Betano | 3.40 | 2.95 | 2.22 |
| Betfair | 3.40 | 2.88 | 2.15 |
| Marathonbet | 3.24 | 2.91 | 2.15 |
| Pinnacle | 3.48 | 3.14 | 2.25 |
| SBO | 3.08 | 2.80 | 2.13 |
| William Hill | 3.30 | 3.00 | 2.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
3.40 ▲ +0.03
X
3.00 ▲ +0.16
2
2.20 ▼ -0.01
12 snapshots recorded, from .