Colon Santa Fe
vs
CA Estudiantes
1 – 0 Full time
| 37′ | A. Bonansea | ||
| 46′ | B. BernardiI. Vera | ||
| 46′ | M. AcostaS. Camacho | ||
| 64′ | I. AntonioD. Sarmiento | ||
| 69′ | J. MarcioniE. Beltran | ||
| 69′ | M. PeinipilJ. Buosi | ||
| 71′ | E. AcostaE. Almiron | ||
| 77′ | Caro Nicolas | ||
| 81′ | R. MeloF. Dure | ||
| 81′ | D. RostagnoB. Sanchez de Leon | ||
| 83′ | A. BonanseaL. Garate | ||
| 87′ | B. Sanchez de Leon | ||
| 87′ | J. Benitez | ||
| 90′ | D. Sarmiento |
Colon Santa Fe vs CA Estudiantes overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Colon Santa Fe vs CA Estudiantes
| Probability | Colon Santa Fe | Draw | CA Estudiantes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.8% | 31.1% | 21.1% |
| Market | 46.7% | 31.4% | 22.0% |
| Final | 46.9% | 31.3% | 21.7% |
| Edge | +1.2% | -0.3% | -0.9% |
Why Colon Santa Fe
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.31 vs 0.78.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Colon Santa Fe and CA Estudiantes expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.10
Colon Santa Fe and CA Estudiantes attack and defence ratings
Colon Santa Fe
CA Estudiantes
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Colon Santa Fe vs CA Estudiantes: result vs prediction
Colon Santa Fe 1 – 0 CA Estudiantes
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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Before and after this match
Colon Santa Fe vs CA Estudiantes markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colon Santa Fe | 46.9% | 2.13 | +1.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.0% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colon Santa Fe | 46.9% |
| Draw | 31.3% | |
| CA Estudiantes | 21.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.0% |
| No | 59.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Colon Santa Fe win | 23.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.7% | |
| Loss | 52.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.9% |
| 1-1 | 13.9% | |
| 0-0 | 13.6% |
Colon Santa Fe vs CA Estudiantes stats
Colon Santa Fe and CA Estudiantes recent form
| DWLLLW | |
| WWWLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Colon Santa Fe and CA Estudiantes going into this match
Colon Santa Fe record
- They have won 13 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
CA Estudiantes record
- They have won 12 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
Colon Santa Fe vs CA Estudiantes head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | CA Estudiantes | Colon Santa Fe | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-27 | CA Estudiantes | Colon Santa Fe | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-24 | Colon Santa Fe | CA Estudiantes | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2019-10-17 | Colon Santa Fe | CA Estudiantes | Copa Argentina | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Colon Santa Fe vs CA Estudiantes odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.7%, draw 31.4%, away 22.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.05 | 3.12 | 4.14 |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 2.88 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| Betano | 1.95 | 2.90 | 4.50 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 2.90 | 4.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.92 | 2.95 | 3.86 |
| Pinnacle | 1.97 | 3.19 | 4.33 |
| SBO | 1.95 | 2.70 | 3.77 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 2.90 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .