Primera Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 32

Colon Santa Fe vs CA Estudiantes

1 – 0 Full time

37′A. Bonansea
46′B. BernardiI. Vera
46′M. AcostaS. Camacho
64′I. AntonioD. Sarmiento
69′J. MarcioniE. Beltran
69′M. PeinipilJ. Buosi
71′E. AcostaE. Almiron
77′Caro Nicolas
81′R. MeloF. Dure
81′D. RostagnoB. Sanchez de Leon
83′A. BonanseaL. Garate
87′B. Sanchez de Leon
87′J. Benitez
90′D. Sarmiento
Colon Santa Fe 47%
Draw 31%
CA Estudiantes 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Colon Santa Fe vs CA Estudiantes overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Colon Santa Fe vs CA Estudiantes

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityColon Santa FeDrawCA Estudiantes
Model47.8%31.1%21.1%
Market46.7%31.4%22.0%
Final46.9%31.3%21.7%
Edge+1.2%-0.3%-0.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Colon Santa Fe

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.31 vs 0.78.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Colon Santa Fe ↓ / CA Estudiantes → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 8% 1 15% 14% 2 11% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 63%
3+ goals 35%
No goals 14%

Colon Santa Fe and CA Estudiantes expected goals

Colon Santa Fe 1.31
CA Estudiantes 0.78

Total expected goals: 2.10

Colon Santa Fe and CA Estudiantes attack and defence ratings

Colon Santa Fe

Attack 1.23 +23%
Defence 0.90 -10%

CA Estudiantes

Attack 1.24 +24%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Colon Santa Fe vs CA Estudiantes: result vs prediction

Colon Santa Fe 1 – 0 CA Estudiantes

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 32 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

Colon Santa Fe vs CA Estudiantes markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Colon Santa Fe 46.9% 2.13 +1.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 65.1% 1.54 — —
Both teams to score No 59.0% 1.69 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.3% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.2% 1.92 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Colon Santa Fe46.9%
Draw31.3%
CA Estudiantes21.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.534.9%
Under 2.565.1%
Both teams to scoreYes41.0%
No59.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.3%
12 (either side)68.7%
X2 (draw or away)53.1%
Handicap -1Colon Santa Fe win23.1%
Push (exactly one goal)24.7%
Loss52.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-014.9%
1-113.9%
0-013.6%

Colon Santa Fe vs CA Estudiantes stats

Colon Santa Fe and CA Estudiantes recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Colon Santa Fe and CA Estudiantes going into this match

league record before kick-off

Colon Santa Fe record

  • They have won 13 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 31 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

CA Estudiantes record

  • They have won 12 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 31 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).

Colon Santa Fe vs CA Estudiantes head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

0Colon Santa Fe wins 3Draws 1CA Estudiantes wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-16CA EstudiantesColon Santa FePrimera Nacional1-1
2025-09-27CA EstudiantesColon Santa FePrimera Nacional1-0
2025-05-24Colon Santa FeCA EstudiantesPrimera Nacional0-0
2019-10-17Colon Santa FeCA EstudiantesCopa Argentina2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Colon Santa Fe vs CA Estudiantes odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.7%, draw 31.4%, away 22.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.05 3.12 4.14
Bet365 1.91 2.88 5.00
BetVictor 1.95 3.00 4.40
Betano 1.95 2.90 4.50
Betfair 1.91 2.90 4.00
Marathonbet 1.92 2.95 3.86
Pinnacle 1.97 3.19 4.33
SBO 1.95 2.70 3.77
William Hill 2.00 2.90 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.95 ▼ -0.03
X 2.90 —
2 4.14 ▲ +0.14

10 snapshots recorded, from .