Garuda Lions
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Primera Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 32

Chacarita Juniors vs Patronato

1 – 0 Full time

36′J. SalasJ. Barolin
46′F. SoldanoS. Piccioni
46′J. P. BarinagaB. Bravo
60′R. ReynagaT. Attis
63′F. Meritello
66′T. PerezM. Cuero
66′M. SanabriaF. Cristaldo
69′M. Leyendeker
71′A. Cuello
74′S. AcostaF. Facello
76′J. Barolin
82′N. PantaleoneT. Migliore
82′N. ChavesL. Alfonzo
86′F. Cristaldo
90′F. Evangelista
90′M. Cuero
90′M. Cuero

Estadio de Chacarita Juniors, Buenos Aires

Chacarita Juniors 43%
Draw 32%
Patronato 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chacarita Juniors vs Patronato overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Chacarita Juniors vs Patronato

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityChacarita JuniorsDrawPatronato
Model34.7%34.4%30.9%
Market46.4%30.9%22.6%
Final43.5%31.8%24.7%
Edge-11.7%+3.4%+8.3%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Chacarita Juni ↓ / Patronato → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 16% 12% 1 13% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 84%
2+ goals 58%
3+ goals 30%
No goals 16%

Chacarita Juniors and Patronato expected goals

Chacarita Juniors 0.99
Patronato 0.92

Total expected goals: 1.91

Chacarita Juniors and Patronato attack and defence ratings

Chacarita Juniors

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 1.09 +9%

Patronato

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Chacarita Juniors vs Patronato: result vs prediction

Chacarita Juniors 1 – 0 Patronato

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 32 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

Chacarita Juniors vs Patronato markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Chacarita Juniors 43.5% 2.30 -11.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 70.0% 1.43 — —
Both teams to score No 60.8% 1.65 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.3% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.3% 1.53 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Chacarita Juniors43.5%
Draw31.8%
Patronato24.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.530.0%
Under 2.570.0%
Both teams to scoreYes39.2%
No60.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.3%
12 (either side)68.2%
X2 (draw or away)56.5%
Handicap -1Chacarita Juniors win13.6%
Push (exactly one goal)21.1%
Loss65.3%
Correct score (top 3)0-016.1%
1-114.8%
1-013.3%

Chacarita Juniors vs Patronato stats

Chacarita Juniors and Patronato recent form

newest first
Chacarita Juniors LWLLLL
Patronato WDDDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Chacarita Juniors and Patronato going into this match

league record before kick-off

Chacarita Juniors record

  • They have won 8 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.1 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 16 of 31 matches.

Patronato record

  • They have won 6 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 15 of 31 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Chacarita Juniors vs Patronato head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Chacarita Juniors wins 2Draws 4Patronato wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-17PatronatoChacarita JuniorsPrimera Nacional2-0
2024-09-28Chacarita JuniorsPatronatoPrimera Nacional1-0
2024-05-12PatronatoChacarita JuniorsPrimera Nacional2-0
2018-02-19PatronatoChacarita JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina3-0
2015-10-11PatronatoChacarita JuniorsPrimera Nacional6-2
2015-05-30Chacarita JuniorsPatronatoPrimera Nacional1-1
2012-06-23Chacarita JuniorsPatronatoPrimera Nacional3-0
2012-02-05PatronatoChacarita JuniorsPrimera Nacional0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Chacarita Juniors vs Patronato odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.4%, draw 30.9%, away 22.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.98 3.29 4.14
Bet365 2.00 3.00 4.20
BetVictor 2.00 3.00 4.10
Betano 2.00 2.95 4.15
Betfair 1.90 3.00 4.00
Marathonbet 1.93 2.88 3.94
Pinnacle 2.00 3.09 4.37
SBO 2.00 2.78 3.45
William Hill 1.83 3.00 3.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.00 ▲ +0.02
X 3.00 ▲ +0.12
2 4.10 ▲ +0.25

12 snapshots recorded, from .