Primera Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 31

Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors

2 – 1 Full time

16′M. Albertengo
37′C. Guanca
40′L. Ortiz
41′L. Ortiz
41′A. Dominguez
49′F. Montiel
49′N. Pantaleone
56′F. HanashiroM. Ramirez
64′M. LeyendekerF. Facello
66′F. MalaguenoE. Ocampo
66′R. E. MonserratC. Gaston
71′L. GonzalezF. Zicarelli
72′M. AlbertengoN. Toloza
73′M. SanabriaT. Zarate
74′M. Ramirez
81′A. Cuello
83′A. CuelloF. Cristaldo
83′B. CalderaraN. Chaves
90′N. Toloza
90′F. Zicarelli
90′S. Vittor

Estadio de Colegiales, Buenos Aires

Colegiales 49%
Draw 32%
Chacarita Juniors 20%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityColegialesDrawChacarita Juniors
Model51.1%32.2%16.7%
Market47.8%31.5%20.7%
Final48.6%31.7%19.7%
Edge+3.2%+0.7%-4.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Colegiales

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.25 vs 0.60.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Colegiales below the model: +3.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Colegiales ↓ / Chacarita Juni → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 17% 1 18% 13% 2 12% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 83%
2+ goals 57%
3+ goals 28%
No goals 17%

Colegiales and Chacarita Juniors expected goals

Colegiales 1.25
Chacarita Juniors 0.60

Total expected goals: 1.86

Colegiales and Chacarita Juniors attack and defence ratings

Colegiales

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Chacarita Juniors

Attack 0.78 -22%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors: result vs prediction

Colegiales 2 – 1 Chacarita Juniors

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 31 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Colegiales 48.6% 2.06 +3.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 71.6% 1.40 — —
Both teams to score No 66.5% 1.50 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 80.3% 1.24 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 48.9% 2.05 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Colegiales48.6%
Draw31.7%
Chacarita Juniors19.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.528.4%
Under 2.571.6%
Both teams to scoreYes33.5%
No66.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)80.3%
12 (either side)68.3%
X2 (draw or away)51.4%
Handicap -1Colegiales win24.3%
Push (exactly one goal)26.8%
Loss48.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-018.4%
0-016.8%
1-113.0%

Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors stats

Colegiales and Chacarita Juniors recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Colegiales and Chacarita Juniors going into this match

league record before kick-off

Colegiales record

  • They have won 11 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 30 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 12 of 30 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Chacarita Juniors record

  • They have won 8 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.1 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 30 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 16 of 30 matches.

Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

1Colegiales wins 2Draws 4Chacarita Juniors wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-10Chacarita JuniorsColegialesPrimera Nacional2-0
2014-10-13Chacarita JuniorsColegialesPrimera B Metropolitana2-1
2014-08-21ColegialesChacarita JuniorsPrimera B Metropolitana0-1
2014-04-16Chacarita JuniorsColegialesPrimera B Metropolitana1-0
2013-08-14ColegialesChacarita JuniorsPrimera B Metropolitana1-0
2013-04-30ColegialesChacarita JuniorsPrimera B Metropolitana1-1
2012-11-11Chacarita JuniorsColegialesPrimera B Metropolitana0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.8%, draw 31.5%, away 20.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.87 2.90 4.42
Bet365 1.90 2.90 4.75
BetVictor 1.93 3.00 4.50
Betano 1.91 3.00 4.50
Betfair 1.85 3.00 4.40
Marathonbet 1.85 2.90 4.30
Pinnacle 1.95 3.11 4.58
SBO 1.93 2.72 3.80
William Hill 1.91 2.90 4.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.91 ▼ -0.25
X 2.90 ▲ +0.13
2 4.42 ▲ +0.62

12 snapshots recorded, from .