Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 31
CA Estudiantes
vs
San Miguel
2 – 1 Full time
| 12′ | L. Delgado | ||
| 24′ | R. Melo | ||
| 43′ | M. Albarracin | ||
| 49′ | L. Delgado | ||
| 56′ | M. AlbarracinS. Camacho | ||
| 56′ | M. AcostaI. Vera | ||
| 56′ | E. AcostaE. Almiron | ||
| 63′ | E. De la CruzA. Cruz | ||
| 69′ | A. Cruz | ||
| 69′ | D. Rostagno | ||
| 72′ | L. Brochero | ||
| 76′ | D. AdinM. Serra | ||
| 76′ | L. DesabatoT. Diaz | ||
| 81′ | I. Vera | ||
| 83′ | R. MeloB. Sanchez de Leon | ||
| 83′ | F. DureA. Berizovsky | ||
| 86′ | I. RamirezF. Almeida | ||
| 87′ | L. BrocheroT. Jerez |
CA Estudiantes
63%
Draw
26%
San Miguel
11%
CA Estudiantes vs San Miguel overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CA Estudiantes vs San Miguel
| Probability | CA Estudiantes | Draw | San Miguel |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63.0% | 25.6% | 11.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 63.0% | 25.6% | 11.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why CA Estudiantes
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 0.57.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
88%
2+ goals
66%
3+ goals
39%
No goals
12%
CA Estudiantes and San Miguel expected goals
CA Estudiantes
1.66
San Miguel
0.57
Total expected goals: 2.23
CA Estudiantes and San Miguel attack and defence ratings
CA Estudiantes
Attack
1.12 +12%
Defence
0.89 -11%
San Miguel
Attack
0.91 -9%
Defence
1.29 +29%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
CA Estudiantes vs San Miguel: result vs prediction
CA Estudiantes 2 – 1 San Miguel
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 31 fixtures
- Almirante Brown vs Acassuso
- All Boys v Colon Santa Fe — match page
- Quilmes v Club Atlético Güemes — match page
- Ciudad de Bolívar vs Chaco For Ever — team news & stats
- Deportivo Madryn vs Central Norte
- Colegiales v Chacarita Juniors — match page
- Almagro vs Nueva Chicago — team news & stats
- Los Andes vs Deportivo Moron
Before and after this match
CA Estudiantes vs San Miguel markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CA Estudiantes | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.6% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 37.0% | 2.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CA Estudiantes | 63.0% |
| Draw | 25.6% | |
| San Miguel | 11.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.2% |
| No | 63.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 37.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | CA Estudiantes win | 36.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.7% | |
| Loss | 37.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 16.8% |
| 2-0 | 14.8% | |
| 0-0 | 11.8% |
CA Estudiantes vs San Miguel stats
CA Estudiantes and San Miguel recent form
| CA Estudiantes |
WWLDLW |
| San Miguel |
DDLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CA Estudiantes and San Miguel going into this match
CA Estudiantes record
- They have won 11 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
San Miguel record
- They have won 6 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 30 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
CA Estudiantes vs San Miguel head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
2CA Estudiantes wins
4Draws
1San Miguel wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | San Miguel | CA Estudiantes | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2024-06-29 | CA Estudiantes | San Miguel | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2024-02-10 | San Miguel | CA Estudiantes | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2019-04-14 | San Miguel | CA Estudiantes | Primera B Metropolitana | 0-1 |
| 2018-11-04 | CA Estudiantes | San Miguel | Primera B Metropolitana | 0-0 |
| 2018-03-14 | San Miguel | CA Estudiantes | Primera B Metropolitana | 3-0 |
| 2017-10-18 | CA Estudiantes | San Miguel | Primera B Metropolitana | 4-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.