Primera Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 32

San Miguel vs Atletico Mitre

0 – 2 Full time

43′D. AbelloB. Mieres
46′M. VazquezM. Maldonado
49′I. Ramirez
55′K. Ceceri
56′M. Machado
57′D. Adin
61′O. Garrido
65′L. DesabatoB. Nasta
65′J. FerreroM. Serra
65′D. AdinF. Almeida
67′P. Minissale
67′O. GarridoS. Rodriguez
74′P. MinissaleA. Lopez
74′S. RosalesJ. Zarate
76′E. De la CruzM. Oses
84′I. RamirezT. Jerez
90′B. Mieres
90′A. Lopez

Estadio Malvinas Argentinas, Buenos Aires

San Miguel 55%
Draw 28%
Atletico Mitre 16%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

San Miguel vs Atletico Mitre overview

Garuda Lions analysis: San Miguel vs Atletico Mitre

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySan MiguelDrawAtletico Mitre
Model55.5%28.4%16.1%
Market———
Final55.5%28.4%16.1%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why San Miguel

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 0.70.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

San Miguel ↓ / Atletico Mitre → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 1 15% 13% 2 13% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 66%
3+ goals 38%
No goals 12%

San Miguel and Atletico Mitre expected goals

San Miguel 1.51
Atletico Mitre 0.70

Total expected goals: 2.20

San Miguel and Atletico Mitre attack and defence ratings

San Miguel

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 1.39 +39%

Atletico Mitre

Attack 0.71 -29%
Defence 1.39 +39%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

San Miguel vs Atletico Mitre: result vs prediction

San Miguel 0 – 2 Atletico Mitre

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 32 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

San Miguel vs Atletico Mitre markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 San Miguel 55.5% 1.80 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 62.2% 1.61 — —
Both teams to score No 59.7% 1.67 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.9% 1.19 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 44.5% 2.25 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2San Miguel55.5%
Draw28.4%
Atletico Mitre16.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.537.8%
Under 2.562.2%
Both teams to scoreYes40.3%
No59.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.9%
12 (either side)71.6%
X2 (draw or away)44.5%
Handicap -1San Miguel win29.6%
Push (exactly one goal)25.9%
Loss44.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-015.5%
1-112.8%
2-012.5%

San Miguel vs Atletico Mitre stats

San Miguel and Atletico Mitre recent form

newest first
San Miguel LDDLLL
Atletico Mitre LLDDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

San Miguel and Atletico Mitre going into this match

league record before kick-off

San Miguel record

  • They have won 6 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 31 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).

Atletico Mitre record

  • They have won 6 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 12 of 31 matches.

San Miguel vs Atletico Mitre head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0San Miguel wins 0Draws 1Atletico Mitre wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-17Atletico MitreSan MiguelPrimera Nacional4-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

San Miguel vs Atletico Mitre odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.