Primera Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 31

Atletico Mitre vs San Telmo

0 – 2 Full time

20′C. Nunez
24′E. Britez
28′M. Batallini
37′D. Abello
42′M. BatalliniM. Gonzalez
43′San Telmo
46′L. PollacchiR. Dinocco
46′C. NunezG. Paredes
46′E. AvaroF. J. Gorla
55′D. AbelloM. Romero
55′R. GonzalezM. Maldonado
63′E. BritezJ. Porto
74′F. FerrariA. Lopez
74′O. GarridoF. Cabral
80′G. Paredes
81′N. MolinaR. Gamarra
90′J. Porto

Estadio Aurinegro, Santiago del Estero

Atletico Mitre 49%
Draw 31%
San Telmo 20%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Atletico Mitre vs San Telmo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Atletico Mitre vs San Telmo

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAtletico MitreDrawSan Telmo
Model42.5%34.1%23.4%
Market51.0%29.6%19.3%
Final48.9%30.7%20.4%
Edge-8.6%+4.5%+4.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Atletico Mitre

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.11 vs 0.75.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Atletico Mitre ↓ / San Telmo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 17% 10% 1 16% 14% 2 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 83%
2+ goals 57%
3+ goals 29%
No goals 17%

Atletico Mitre and San Telmo expected goals

Atletico Mitre 1.11
San Telmo 0.75

Total expected goals: 1.86

Atletico Mitre and San Telmo attack and defence ratings

Atletico Mitre

Attack 0.79 -21%
Defence 1.33 +33%

San Telmo

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 1.22 +22%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Atletico Mitre vs San Telmo: result vs prediction

Atletico Mitre 0 – 2 San Telmo

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 31 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

Atletico Mitre vs San Telmo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Atletico Mitre 48.9% 2.05 -8.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 71.4% 1.40 — —
Both teams to score No 63.2% 1.58 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 79.6% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.6% 1.74 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Atletico Mitre48.9%
Draw30.7%
San Telmo20.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.528.6%
Under 2.571.4%
Both teams to scoreYes36.8%
No63.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)79.6%
12 (either side)69.3%
X2 (draw or away)51.1%
Handicap -1Atletico Mitre win18.3%
Push (exactly one goal)24.2%
Loss57.6%
Correct score (top 3)0-016.8%
1-015.9%
1-114.3%

Atletico Mitre vs San Telmo stats

Atletico Mitre and San Telmo recent form

newest first
Atletico Mitre LDDDLD
San Telmo LWDLWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Atletico Mitre and San Telmo going into this match

league record before kick-off

Atletico Mitre record

  • They have won 6 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 30 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 30 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

San Telmo record

  • They have won 7 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 30 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 15 of 30 matches.

Atletico Mitre vs San Telmo head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

3Atletico Mitre wins 3Draws 0San Telmo wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-09San TelmoAtletico MitrePrimera Nacional0-0
2025-08-24Atletico MitreSan TelmoPrimera Nacional3-0
2025-04-20San TelmoAtletico MitrePrimera Nacional0-0
2024-06-23San TelmoAtletico MitrePrimera Nacional0-0
2024-02-03Atletico MitreSan TelmoPrimera Nacional1-0
2022-07-10Atletico MitreSan TelmoPrimera Nacional2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Atletico Mitre vs San Telmo odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 51.0%, draw 29.6%, away 19.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.76 3.02 4.84
Bet365 1.83 3.20 4.75
BetVictor 1.80 3.20 4.80
Betano 1.80 3.20 4.75
Betfair 1.75 3.10 4.60
Marathonbet 1.74 3.02 4.70
Pinnacle 1.82 3.17 5.32
SBO 1.81 2.88 4.04
William Hill 1.83 3.00 4.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.80 ▼ -0.01
X 3.10 —
2 4.75 ▲ +0.15

12 snapshots recorded, from .