Acassuso
vs
Atletico Mitre
2 – 0 Full time
| 32′ | D. N. Bellatti S.L. Pioli | ||
| 56′ | M. VazquezA. Lopez | ||
| 56′ | E. AvaroR. Gonzalez | ||
| 63′ | A. Hermoso | ||
| 68′ | N. AcostaL. Rey | ||
| 74′ | J. ZarateL. Mendoza | ||
| 77′ | T. Rodriguez | ||
| 84′ | A. HermosoM. Monaco | ||
| 84′ | S. BorgesJ. Ponce | ||
| 85′ | D. EscalanteD. de Estefano |
Acassuso vs Atletico Mitre overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Acassuso vs Atletico Mitre
| Probability | Acassuso | Draw | Atletico Mitre |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.6% | 35.1% | 26.3% |
| Market | 38.4% | 32.5% | 29.1% |
| Final | 38.4% | 33.2% | 28.4% |
| Edge | +0.2% | +2.6% | -2.8% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Acassuso and Atletico Mitre expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.81
Acassuso and Atletico Mitre attack and defence ratings
Acassuso
Atletico Mitre
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Acassuso vs Atletico Mitre: result vs prediction
Acassuso 2 – 0 Atletico Mitre
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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Before and after this match
Acassuso vs Atletico Mitre markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Acassuso | 38.4% | 2.60 | +0.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Acassuso | 38.4% |
| Draw | 33.2% | |
| Atletico Mitre | 28.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 27.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 72.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.2% |
| No | 63.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Acassuso win | 15.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.0% | |
| Loss | 61.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 17.7% |
| 1-0 | 15.4% | |
| 1-1 | 14.5% |
Acassuso vs Atletico Mitre stats
Acassuso and Atletico Mitre recent form
| LLDLLD | |
| DDDLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Acassuso and Atletico Mitre going into this match
Acassuso record
- They have won 5 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 17 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Atletico Mitre record
- They have won 6 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 29 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Acassuso vs Atletico Mitre head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Atletico Mitre | Acassuso | Primera Nacional | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Acassuso vs Atletico Mitre odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.2%, draw 32.2%, away 29.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.34 | 2.82 | 3.08 |
| Bet365 | 2.40 | 2.80 | 3.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.38 | 2.90 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 2.47 | 2.92 | 3.00 |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 2.88 | 2.88 |
| Marathonbet | 2.32 | 2.82 | 3.00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.44 | 3.03 | 3.24 |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 2.80 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .