Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 30
Deportivo Moron
vs
Godoy Cruz
1 – 2 Full time
| 21′ | N. Brunet | ||
| 30′ | M. Pino | ||
| 36′ | E. Lazza | ||
| 62′ | B. SchamineM. Sosa | ||
| 63′ | S. MartinezF. Oviedo | ||
| 63′ | G. GonzalezJ. Olivares | ||
| 63′ | M. BittoloJ. Esquivel | ||
| 67′ | M. Burruchaga | ||
| 71′ | G. Gil Romero | ||
| 75′ | E. IniguezE. Contreras | ||
| 75′ | M. BurruchagaF. Toloza | ||
| 81′ | F. FagundezG. Berterame | ||
| 88′ | M. Sosa | ||
| 90′ | E. Lazza |
Deportivo Moron
46%
Draw
31%
Godoy Cruz
23%
Deportivo Moron vs Godoy Cruz overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Moron vs Godoy Cruz
| Probability | Deportivo Moron | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.7% | 24.1% | 20.2% |
| Market | 43.0% | 32.9% | 24.0% |
| Final | 46.2% | 30.7% | 23.1% |
| Edge | +12.6% | -8.8% | -3.8% |
Why Deportivo Moron
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 1.09.
- The market prices Deportivo Moron below the model: +12.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
81%
3+ goals
58%
No goals
6%
Deportivo Moron and Godoy Cruz expected goals
Deportivo Moron
1.92
Godoy Cruz
1.09
Total expected goals: 3.01
Deportivo Moron and Godoy Cruz attack and defence ratings
Deportivo Moron
Attack
1.71 +71%
Defence
1.04 +4%
Godoy Cruz
Attack
1.48 +48%
Defence
0.97 -3%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Deportivo Moron vs Godoy Cruz: result vs prediction
Deportivo Moron 1 – 2 Godoy Cruz
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
- Acassuso vs Atletico Mitre
- Ferro Carril Oeste v Ciudad de Bolívar — match page
- San Telmo v CA Estudiantes — match page
- San Miguel vs All Boys — team news & stats
- Temperley vs Almagro — team news & stats
- Atletico DE Rafaela vs San Martin Tucuman — team news & stats
- Chacarita Juniors vs Quilmes
- Agropecuario v Gimnasia Y Tiro — match page
Before and after this match
Deportivo Moron vs Godoy Cruz markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Moron | 46.2% | 2.16 | +12.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Moron | 46.2% |
| Draw | 30.7% | |
| Godoy Cruz | 23.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.7% |
| No | 42.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Moron win | 33.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 44.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.1% |
Deportivo Moron vs Godoy Cruz stats
Deportivo Moron and Godoy Cruz recent form
| Deportivo Moron |
WWWDDW |
| Godoy Cruz |
WWWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Deportivo Moron and Godoy Cruz going into this match
Deportivo Moron record
- They have won 16 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
Godoy Cruz record
- They have won 14 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo Moron vs Godoy Cruz head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
1Deportivo Moron wins
1Draws
0Godoy Cruz wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Godoy Cruz | Deportivo Moron | Primera Nacional | 2-2 |
| 2026-02-26 | Godoy Cruz | Deportivo Moron | Copa Argentina | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Deportivo Moron vs Godoy Cruz odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.0%, draw 32.9%, away 24.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.07 | 2.77 | 3.81 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 2.75 | 4.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 2.90 | 3.75 |
| Betano | 2.12 | 2.92 | 3.75 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 2.90 | 3.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.05 | 2.77 | 3.70 |
| Pinnacle | 2.17 | 2.94 | 4.00 |
| SBO | 2.02 | 2.75 | 3.45 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 2.75 | 3.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.12 ▲ +0.13
X
2.77 ▼ -0.13
2
3.80 ▼ -0.18
14 snapshots recorded, from .