Primera Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 30

Agropecuario vs Gimnasia Y Tiro

1 – 0 Full time

46′R. CastroR. Mosqueira
58′F. SivettiT. Banega
58′J. RoccaR. Villarreal
67′F. Rojas
67′G. Soto
69′M. BirgeW. Montoya
72′L. Montoya
74′L. Montoya
74′L. Montoya
77′F. RojasJ. C. Oviedo
77′N. RinaldiJ. Capano
77′F. SanchezC. Auzqui
85′D. Ruiz DiazE. Aguirre
89′M. Guanini
90′C. Auzqui
90′J. VegaN. Pereyra
90′R. Mosqueira

Ofelia Rosenzuaig, Buenos Aires

Agropecuario 40%
Draw 32%
Gimnasia Y Tiro 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Agropecuario vs Gimnasia Y Tiro overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Agropecuario vs Gimnasia Y Tiro

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAgropecuarioDrawGimnasia Y Tiro
Model28.3%34.4%37.2%
Market43.2%31.5%25.2%
Final39.5%32.3%28.2%
Edge-14.9%+2.9%+12.0%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Agropecuario ↓ / Gimnasia Y Tir → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 16% 14% 1 12% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 84%
2+ goals 58%
3+ goals 29%
No goals 16%

Agropecuario and Gimnasia Y Tiro expected goals

Agropecuario 0.86
Gimnasia Y Tiro 1.03

Total expected goals: 1.89

Agropecuario and Gimnasia Y Tiro attack and defence ratings

Agropecuario

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 1.20 +20%

Gimnasia Y Tiro

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 0.74 -26%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Agropecuario vs Gimnasia Y Tiro: result vs prediction

Agropecuario 1 – 0 Gimnasia Y Tiro

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 30 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

Agropecuario vs Gimnasia Y Tiro markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Agropecuario 39.5% 2.53 -14.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 70.6% 1.42 — —
Both teams to score No 61.5% 1.62 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 71.8% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 71.7% 1.39 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Agropecuario39.5%
Draw32.3%
Gimnasia Y Tiro28.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.529.4%
Under 2.570.6%
Both teams to scoreYes38.5%
No61.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.8%
12 (either side)67.7%
X2 (draw or away)60.5%
Handicap -1Agropecuario win10.0%
Push (exactly one goal)18.4%
Loss71.7%
Correct score (top 3)0-016.4%
1-114.7%
0-114.2%

Agropecuario vs Gimnasia Y Tiro stats

Agropecuario and Gimnasia Y Tiro recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Agropecuario and Gimnasia Y Tiro going into this match

league record before kick-off

Agropecuario record

  • They have won 8 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.1 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 13 of 29 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).

Gimnasia Y Tiro record

  • They have won 12 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 29 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Agropecuario vs Gimnasia Y Tiro head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

2Agropecuario wins 0Draws 0Gimnasia Y Tiro wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-05Gimnasia Y TiroAgropecuarioPrimera Nacional2-3
2017-05-22AgropecuarioGimnasia Y TiroTorneo Federal A2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Agropecuario vs Gimnasia Y Tiro odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.2%, draw 31.5%, away 25.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.08 2.88 3.60
Bet365 2.15 2.80 3.90
BetVictor 2.10 3.00 3.70
Betano 2.15 2.87 3.75
Betfair 2.05 3.00 3.50
Marathonbet 2.06 2.88 3.50
Pinnacle 2.16 3.11 3.76
SBO 2.01 2.83 3.34
William Hill 2.10 2.90 3.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.10 ▼ -0.05
X 2.88 ▲ +0.07
2 3.60 ▲ +0.15

12 snapshots recorded, from .